The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a indicator used by Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) which describes the average change in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services in a certain period. The case on Consumer Price Index (CPI) of Probolinggo City, if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increase then describe inflation occurs and conversely. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) of Probolinggo City increase is not fixed. This study is to forecast the Consumer Price Index (CPI) that the results can be used as one of the considerations in carrying out economic development in the future. Research focused on the data of Consumer Price Index (CPI) of Probolinggo City from January 2014 to April 2022. Methodology implemented in this study is Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). Result show that ARIMA without an outlier was the best model for predicting Consumer Price Index (CPI) of Probolinggo City for the next 8 months. This model shows the value of MAPE is . The value of forecasting results in each month has decreased and increased not so significantly where in May 2022 the forecasting value was 108,391 then in June 2022 the forecasting value became 108,411 and so on until December 2022 the forecasting results using ARIMA model of 107,845.
Abstrak:Metode Hypnosis Learning merupakan sebuah pembelajaran yang dirancang dengan menciptakan situasi yang nyaman dan menyenangkan dalam lingkungan terkendali untuk dapat masuk ke pikiran bawah sadar. Metode tersebut mengatasi berbagai problem belajar yang dialami oleh anak didik. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui kesulitan belajar santri di TPA Sabilillah, berikut konsep dan implementasi metode Hypnosis Learning dalam mengatasi kesulitan belajar santri. Temuan penelitian ini menunjukkan, pertama, proses belajar santri di TPA Sabilillah tidak selalu berjalan seperti apa yang diharapkan. Ada beberapa kesulitan belajar yang dialami, yaitu kesulitan dalam bahasa, kesulitan belajar membaca (disleksia) dan kesulitan dalam menulis (disgrafia). Kedua, penerapan metode Hypnosis Learning menggunakan teknik afirmasi, sugesti dan visualisasi. Ketiga, penerapan Hypnosis Learning mengikuti tahapantahapan dan alokasi waktu berikut: persiapan (5 -10%), presentasi (60%), praktik (30%) dan evaluasi. Kata Kunci : Metode Hypnosis Learning; Kesulitan Belajar; Taman Pendidikan al Qur'an. Abstract:Hypnosis learning method is a learning activities with creating comfort and fun atmosphere in controlled environment in order to approach subconscious mind. The learning method solve various learning issues by students. This research is aimed to identify learning issues in Sabilillah Quranic School as well as concept and implementation of Hypnosis learning to solve the problem. Findings shows that, first of all, learnig process in the Quranic School was not as expected. Several issues found were language difficulties, reading difficulties, and writing difficulties. Second, the Hypnosis Learning was implemented through affirmation, suggestion, and visualization techniques. Third, in its implementation, the Hypnosis Learning follow steps and allocated time such as preparation (5-10%), presentation (60%), practices (30%), and evaluation.
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