The mortality of toxic epidermal necrolysis is about 30%. Our purpose was to develop and validate a specific severity-of-illness score for cases of toxic epidermal necrolysis admitted to a specialized unit and to compare it with the Simplified Acute Physiology Score and a burn scoring system. A sample of 165 patients was used to develop the toxic epidermal necrolysis-specific severity-of-illness score and evaluate the other scores, a sample of 75 for validation. Model development used logistic regression equations that were translated into probability of hospital mortality; validation used measures of calibration and discrimination. We identified seven independent risk factors for death and constituted the toxic epidermal necrolysis-specific severity-of-illness score: age above 40 y, malignancy, tachycardia above 120 per min, initial percentage of epidermal detachment above 10%, serum urea above 10 mmol per liter, serum glucose above 14 mmol per liter, and bicarbonate below 20 mmol per liter. For each toxic epidermal necrolysis-specific severity-of-illness score point the odds ratio was 3.45 (confidence interval 2.26-5.25). Probability of death was: P(death) = elogit/1 + elogit with logit = -4.448 + 1.237 (toxic epidermal nec-rolysis-specific severity-of-illness score). Calibration demonstrated excellent agreement between expected (19. 6%) and actual (20%) mortality; discrimination was also excellent with a receiver operating characteristic area of 82%. The Simplified Acute Physiology Score and the burn score were also associated with mortality. The discriminatory powers were poorer (receiver operating characteristic area: 72 and 75%) and calibration of the Simplified Acute Physiology Score indicated a poor agreement between expected (9.1%) and actual (26.7%) mortality. This study demonstrates that the risk of death of toxic epidermal necrolysis patients can be accurately predicted by the toxic epidermal necrolysis-specific severity-of-illness score. The Simplified Acute Physiology Score and burn score appear to be less adequate.
From June 1985 to December 1998, 173 pediatric renal transplants were carried out in 170 patients at our center. From this pool, 73 patients (34 males and 39 females) with a follow-up of 48 months were examined. In all patients, ureteroneocystostomy was performed according to the Lich-Grégoire procedure. All patients were treated with cyclosporin A (CsA)-based immunosuppression, including prednisone and sometimes azathioprine (AZA). Six months after transplantation, voiding cystography (VCU) was performed in all patients and reflux was classified from Grade I to Grade IV. The patients were divided into two groups: those with reflux (Group A: 25 patients) and those without (Group B: 48 patients). Grade I reflux was found in four patients, Grade II in seven patients, Grade III in seven patients, and Grade IV in seven patients. All the patients with severe reflux (Grade IV) underwent a corrective surgical procedure. Both groups were examined for immunologic and non-immunologic risk factors and no significant differences were found. Analysis of patient and graft survival rates revealed no statistical differences (NS) between Groups A and B. Mean serum creatinine (mg/dL) was 1.06 +/- 0.28 and 1.12 +/- 0.41 at 4 yr in Groups A and B, respectively (NS). Mean calculated creatinine clearance (cCrC; ml/min) was 76.74 +/- 15.92 and 77.96 +/- 15.66 in Groups A and B, respectively (NS). The analysis was further extended by considering the grade of reflux (I to IV). Again, no significant differences in the above parameters emerged between the reflux sub-groups; only in the Grade IV sub-group was a slight decrease in cCrC detected, although this difference was not statistically significant when compared with the other sub-groups. In conclusion, vesico-ureteral reflux (VUR) does not seem to negatively affect graft function. However, as all severe reflux patients (Grade IV) were surgically corrected, no conclusions can be drawn with regard to the influence of Grade IV reflux on long-term graft function.
The study confirmed that a CR-KP positivity may affect the outcome of a kidney transplant population. In severe CR-KP infections with sepsis, a combined antibiotic treatment seems to be advisable.
Donor-specific HLA antibody (DSA)-mediated graft injury is the major cause of kidney loss. Among DSA characteristics, graft homing has been suggested as an indicator of severe tissue damage. We analyzed the role of de novo DSA (dnDSA) graft homing on kidney transplantation outcome. Graft biopsy specimens and parallel sera from 48 nonsensitized pediatric kidney recipients were analyzed. Serum samples and eluates from graft biopsy specimens were tested for the presence of dnDSAs with flow bead technology. Intragraft dnDSAs (gDSAs) were never detected in the absence of serum dnDSAs (sDSAs), whereas in the presence of sDSAs, gDSAs were demonstrated in 72% of biopsy specimens. A significantly higher homing capability was expressed by class II sDSAs endowed with high mean fluorescence intensity and C3d- and/or C1q-fixing properties. In patients with available sequential biopsy specimens, we detected gDSAs before the appearance of antibody-mediated rejection. In sDSA-positive patients, gDSA positivity did not allow stratification for antibody-mediated graft lesions and graft loss. However, a consistent detection of skewed unique DSA specificities was observed over time within the graft, likely responsible for the damage. Our results indicate that gDSAs could represent an instrumental tool to identify, among sDSAs, clinically relevant antibody specificities requiring monitoring and possibly guiding patient management.
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