The indices of sensitivity, specificity and accuracy represented that the decision tree model has acceptable accuracy to prediction the probability of mortality in gastric cancer patients. So a simple decision tree consisted of factors affecting on mortality of gastric cancer may help clinicians as a reliable and practical tool to predict the probability of mortality in these patients.
Background. Standardization of clinical practices is an essential part of continuing education of newly registered nurses in the intensive care unit (ICU). The development of educational standards based on evidence can help improve the quality of educational programs and ultimately clinical skills and practices. Objectives. The objectives of the study were to develop a standardized learning curve of arterial blood gas (ABG) sampling competency, to design a checklist for the assessment of competency, to assess the relative importance of predictors and learning patterns of competency, and to determine how many times it is essential to reach a specific level of ABG sampling competency according to the learning curve. Design. A quasi-experimental, nonrandomized, single-group trial with time series design. Participants. All newly registered nurses in the ICU of a teaching hospital of Tehran University of Medical Sciences were selected from July 2016 to April 2018. Altogether, 65 nurses participated in the study; however, at the end, only nine nurses had dropped out due to shift displacement. Methods. At first, the primary checklist was prepared to assess the nurses’ ABG sampling practices and it was finalized after three sessions of the expert panel. The checklist had three domains, including presampling, during sampling, and postsampling of ABG competency. Then, 56 nurses practiced ABG sampling step by step under the supervision of three observers who controlled the processes and they filled the checklists. The endpoint was considered reaching a 95 score on the learning curve. The Poisson regression model was used in order to verify the effective factors of ABG sampling competency. The importance of variables in the prediction of practice scores had been calculated in a linear regression of R software by using the relaimpo package. Results. According to the results, in order to reach a skill level of 55, 65, 75, 85, and 95, nurses, respectively, would need average ABG practice times of 6, 6, 7, 7, and 7. In the linear regression model, demographic variables predict 47.65 percent of changes related to scores in practices but the extent of prediction of these variables totally decreased till 7 practice times, and in each practice, nurses who had the higher primary skill levels gained 1 to 2 skill scores more than those with low primary skills. Conclusions. Utilization of the learning curve could be helpful in the standardization of clinical practices in nursing training and optimization of the frequency of skills training, thus improving the training quality in this field. This trial is registered with NCT02830971.
BackgroundSmoothing methods are widely used to analyze epidemiologic data, particularly in the area of environmental health where non-linear relationships are not uncommon. This study focused on three different smoothing methods in Cox models: penalized splines, restricted cubic splines and fractional polynomials.ObjectivesThe aim of this study was to assess the effects of prognostic factors on survival of patients with gastric cancer using the smoothing methods in Cox model and Cox proportional hazards. Also, all models were compared to each other in order to find the best one.Materials and MethodsWe retrospectively studied 216 patients with gastric cancer who were registered in one referral cancer registry center in Tehran, Iran. Age at diagnosis, sex, presence of metastasis, tumor size, histology type, lymph node metastasis, and pathologic stages were entered in to analysis using the Cox proportional hazards model and smoothing methods in Cox model. The SPSS version 18.0 and R version 2.14.1 were used for data analysis. These models compared with Akaike information criterion.ResultsIn this study, The 5 year survival rate was 30%. The Cox proportional hazards, penalized spline and fractional polynomial models let to similar results and Akaike information criterion showed a better performance for these three models comparing to the restricted cubic spline. Also, P-value and likelihood ratio test in restricted cubic spline was greater than other models. Note that the best model is indicated by the lowest Akaike information criterion.ConclusionsThe use of smoothing methods helps us to eliminate non-linear effects but it is more appropriate to use Cox proportional hazards model in medical data because of its’ ease of interpretation and capability of modeling both continuous and discrete covariates. Also, Cox proportional hazards model and smoothing methods analysis identified that age at diagnosis and tumor size were independent prognostic factors for the survival of patients with gastric cancer (P < 0.05). According to these results the early detection of patients at younger age and in primary stages may be important to increase survival.
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