1. Preço 2. Risco 3. Carne bovina 4. Redes neurais 5. Inteligência computacional. I. Título. Dedico esta tese de Doutorado aos meus Pais Jácomo Lemes eMarlene de Almeida Lemes, pelos 51 anos de casamento em dezembro de 2013, pelos ensinamentos e exemplo de vida. "As palavras movem, os exemplos arrastam" AgradecimentosAgradeço a Deus pelas oportunidades que me foram concedidas. comportamento linear e não linear do modelo como ferramenta para a geração de informações e redução dos riscos que contribuirá para reduzir a subjetividade no processo de tomada de decisão.Palavras-chave: preço, risco, carne bovina, redes neurais, inteligência computacional. This represents the livestock price indicator ESALQ/BM&F/BOVESPA that is used as a reference for the negotiations of purchase and sale in future contracts. The results show the effectiveness of the proposed models for simulation and orchestration, that is, they allow assessment of linear and non-linear behavior of the model as a tool for the generation of data and risk reductions that will contribute to less subjectivity in the decision-making process.
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