To study riding safety at intersection entrance, video recognition technology is used to build vehicle-bicycle conflict models based on the Bayesian method. It is analyzed the relationship among the width of nonmotorized lanes at the entrance lane of the intersection, the vehicle-bicycle soft isolation form of the entrance lane of intersection, the traffic volume of right-turning motor vehicles and straight-going non-motor vehicles, the speed of right-turning motor vehicles, and straight-going non-motor vehicles, and the conflict between right-turning motor vehicles and straight-going nonmotor vehicles. Due to the traditional statistical methods, to overcome the discreteness of vehicle-bicycle conflict data and the differences of influencing factors, the Bayesian random effect Poisson-log-normal model and random effect negative binomial regression model are established. The results show that the random effect Poisson-log-normal model is better than the negative binomial distribution of random effects; The width of non-motorized lanes, the form of vehicle-bicycle soft isolation, the traffic volume of right-turning motor vehicles, and the coefficients of straight traffic volume obey a normal distribution. Among them, the type of vehicle-bicycle soft isolation facilities and the vehicle-bicycle traffic volumes are significantly positively correlated with the number of vehicle-bicycle conflicts. The width of non-motorized lanes is significantly negatively correlated with the number of vehicle-bicycle conflicts. Peak periods and flat periods, the average speed of right-turning motor vehicles, and the average speed of straight-going non-motor vehicles have no significant influence on the number of vehicle-bicycle conflicts.
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