Emerging from early of 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic has become one of the most serious health crisis globally. In response to such threat, a wide range of digital health applications has been deployed in Vietnam to strengthen surveillance, risk communication, diagnosis, and treatment of COVID-19. Digital health has brought enormous benefits to the fight against COVID-19, however, numerous constrains in digital health application remain. Lack of strong governance of digital health development and deployment; insufficient infrastructure and staff capacity for digital health application are among the main drawbacks. Despite several outstanding problems, digital health is expected to contribute to reducing the spread, improving the effectiveness of pandemic control, and adding to the dramatic transformation of the health system the post-COVID era.
Objective To estimate the incubation period of Vietnamese confirmed COVID-19 cases. Methods Only confirmed COVID-19 cases who are Vietnamese and locally infected with available data on date of symptom onset and clearly defined window of possible SARS-CoV-2 exposure were included. We used three parametric forms with Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method for Bayesian Inference to estimate incubation period for Vietnamese COVID-19 cases. Leave-one-out Information Criterion was used to assess the performance of three models. Results A total of 19 cases identified from 23 Jan 2020 to 13 April 2020 was included in our analysis. Average incubation periods estimated using different distribution model ranged from 6.0 days to 6.4 days with the Weibull distribution demonstrated the best fit to the data. The estimated mean of incubation period using Weibull distribution model was 6.4 days (95% credible interval (CrI): 4.89–8.5), standard deviation (SD) was 3.05 (95%CrI 3.05–5.30), median was 5.6, ranges from 1.35 to 13.04 days (2.5th to 97.5th percentiles). Extreme estimation of incubation periods is within 14 days from possible infection. Conclusion This analysis provides evidence for an average incubation period for COVID-19 of approximately 6.4 days. Our findings support existing guidelines for 14 days of quarantine of persons potentially exposed to SARS-CoV-2. Although for extreme cases, the quarantine period should be extended up to three weeks.
ObjectivesThis study aimed to examine the potential of combining routine tuberculosis (TB) surveillance and demographic and socioeconomic variables into the Geographic Information System (GIS) to describe the geographical distribution of TB notified incidence in relation to distances to health services as well as local demographic and socioeconomic factors, including population density, urban/rural status, and household poverty rates in Nam Dinh, Vietnam. It also aimed to compare the conventional Generalized Linear Models (GLM) Poisson regression model and Geographically Weighted Poisson Regression (GWPR) models in order to determine the best fitting model that can be used to investigate the relationship between TB notified incidence and distances and the social risk factors.MethodsThe data of new and relapse patients with all forms of TB aged ≥15 years residing in Nam Dinh (Vietnam) from 2012 to 2015 were collected from the Administration of Medical Services’ (Ministry of Health of Vietnam) TB surveillance database. Data on the population and household poverty rates from 2012 to 2015 were gathered from the Nam Dinh Statistical Office. Distances between communes and the nearest TB diagnostic facilities in districts were computed. The TB notified incidence per 100,000 population was denoted by indirect age and sex standardized incidence ratio. GLM Poisson regression and GWPR were performed to assess the relationship between distance and TB incidence.ResultsThe average notified TB incidence level measured from 2012 to 2015 is 82 per 100,000 population (range: 79-84/100,000). The distance to the nearest TB diagnosis presents a negative effect on TB notified incidence. By capturing spatial heterogeneity, the GWPR may be better at fitting data (corrected Aikake information criterion [AICc] = 245.71, residual deviance = 221.12) than the traditional GLM (AICc = 251.53, residual deviance = 241.21)ConclusionsGIS technologies benefit TB surveillance system. Distances should be considered when planning methods of improving access for those who live far from TB diagnostic services, thereby improving TB detection. Additional studies must confirm the association between geographic distance and TB case detection and must explore other factors that may affect TB notified incidence.
Reproduction number is an epidemiologic indicator that reflects the contagiousness and transmissibility of infectious agents. This paper aims to estimate the reproduction number of in the early phase of COVID-19 outbreak in Vietnam.
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