The module for assimilating radiance data of the Microwave Humidity Sounder-2 (MWHS-2) onboard the Feng Yun 3D (FY-3D) satellite is built in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model data assimilation (WRFDA) system. The CONV, 3DVar, and EnVar experiments are conducted to investigate the impact of assimilating the new humidity sounder based on Typhoon Ampil (2018). Both the 3DVar and EnVar experiments assimilate FY-3D MWHS-2 radiance data on top of the conventional data, while the CONV experiment only applies conventional data. In the EnVar experiment, notable geopotential height increment is observed around the typhoon, leading the typhoon to move northeast. In addition, the moisture field is improved to some extent. Finally, from the analysis of the dynamic field of the typhoon, it can be found that the EnVar experiment can adjust the dynamic structure of the typhoon. Furthermore, the assimilation of FY-3D MWHS-2 radiance data reduces the forecast error of the typhoon track and intensity. Additionally, the precipitation skill is improved in terms of rainfall pattern and the verification score. This improvement in the precipitation may be closely related to the features of the circulation structure concerning the evolution of the typhoon. The improved prediction of the position and intensity of rainbands in the FY-3D MWHS-2 radiance data assimilation experiment corresponds to a better prediction of typhoon structure.
The impact of assimilating radar radial velocity and reflectivity on the analyses and forecast of Hurricane IKE is investigated within the framework of the WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) model and its three-dimensional variational (3DVar) data assimilation system, including the hydrometeor control variables. Hurricane IKE in the year 2008 was chosen as the study case. It was found that assimilating radar data is able to effectively improve the small-scale information of the hurricane vortex area in the model background. Radar data assimilation experiments yield significant cyclonic wind increments in the inner-core area of the hurricane, enhancing the intensity of the hurricane in the model background. On the other hand, by extending the traditional control variables to include the hydrometeor control variables, the assimilation of radar reflectivity can effectively adjust the water vapor and hydrometeors of the background, further improving the track and intensity forecast of the hurricane. The precipitation forecast skill is also enhanced to some extent with the radar data assimilation, especially with the extended hydrometeor control variables.
This study investigates the impacts of the joint assimilation of microware temperature sensor, Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSUA), and microware humidity sensors, Microwave Humidity Sounder (MHS) and Microwave Humidity Sounder-2 (MWHS2), on the analyses and forecasts for the tropical cyclone (TC) system. Experiments are conducted using a three-dimensional variation (3DVAR) algorithm in the framework of the weather research and forecasting data assimilation (WRFDA) system for the forecasting of Typhoon Ampil (2018). The results show that the assimilation of MWHS2 radiance data improves the analyses better in terms of TC’s structure and moisture conditions than those of the MHS experiment. To some extent, the experiment with only AMSUA radiance delivers some positive impacts of the precipitation, track, and intensity forecast than the other two experiments do. In addition, the skill of the precipitation forecast is notably enhanced with higher equitable threat score (ETS) by the simultaneous assimilation of the MHS, MWHS2, and AMSUA radiance. Generally, assimilation of radiance from all sources of MHS, MWHS2, and AMSUA could combine the advantages of assimilating each type of sensors rather than individually. The consistent improvement is also confirmed for the TC’s track forecast with reduced error on average, whereas the improvement of intensity forecast is not obvious.
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