No abstract

No abstract

No abstract

Short-term traffic flow forecasting is a fundamental and challenging task due to the stochastic dynamics of the traffic flow, which is often imbalanced and noisy. This paper presents a sample-rebalanced and outlier-rejected k-nearest neighbor regression model for short-term traffic flow forecasting. In this model, we adopt a new metric for the evolutionary traffic flow patterns, and reconstruct balanced training sets by relative transformation to tackle the imbalance issue. Then, we design a hybrid model that considers both local and global information to address the limited size of the training samples. We employ four realworld benchmark datasets often used in such tasks to evaluate our model. Experimental results show that our model outperforms state-of-the-art parametric and non-parametric models. INDEX TERMS Intelligent transportation systems, road transportation, time series analysis, stochastic processes.

Accurate and timely short-term traffic flow forecasting plays a key role in intelligent transportation systems, especially for prospective traffic control. For the past decade, a series of methods have been developed for short-term traffic flow forecasting. However, due to the intrinsic stochastic and evolutionary trend, accurate forecasting remains challenging. In this paper, we propose a noise-immune long short-term memory (NiLSTM) network for short-term traffic flow forecasting, which embeds a noise-immune loss function deduced by maximum correntropy into the long short-term memory (LSTM) network. Different from the conventional LSTM network equipped with the mean square error loss, the maximum correntropy induced loss is a local similar metric, which is immunized to non-Gaussian noises. Extensive experiments on four benchmark datasets demonstrate the superior performance of our NiLSTM network by comparing it with the frequently used models and state-of-the-art models.