Background In this study we evaluated the incidence of invasive pulmonary aspergillosis among intubated patients with critical coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and evaluated different case definitions of invasive aspergillosis. Methods Prospective, multicentre study on adult patients with microbiologically confirmed COVID-19 receiving mechanical ventilation. All included participants underwent screening protocol for invasive pulmonary aspergillosis with bronchoalveolar lavage galactomannan and cultures performed on admission at 7 days and in case of clinical deterioration. Cases were classified as coronavirus associated pulmonary aspergillosis (CAPA) according to previous consensus definitions. The new definition was compared with putative invasive pulmonary aspergillosis (PIPA). Results A total of 108 patients were enrolled. Probable CAPA was diagnosed in 30 (27.7%) of patients after a median of 4 (2-8) days from intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Kaplan-Meier curves showed a significant higher 30-day mortality rate from ICU admission among patients with either CAPA (44% vs 19%, p= 0.002) or PIPA (74% vs 26%, p<0.001) when compared with patients not fulfilling criteria for aspergillosis. The association between CAPA [OR 3.53 (95%CI 1.29-9.67), P=0.014] or PIPA [OR 11.60 (95%CI 3.24-41.29) p<0.001] with 30-day mortality from ICU admission was confirmed even after adjustment for confounders with a logistic regression model. Among patients with CAPA receiving voriconazole treatment (13 patients, 43%) A trend toward lower mortality (46% vs 59% p=0.30) and reduction of galactomannan index in consecutive samples was observed. Conclusion We found a high incidence of CAPA among critically ill COVID-19 patients and that its occurrence seems to change the natural history of disease

Background A growing body of observational evidence supports the value of ceftazidime-avibactam (CAZ-AVI) in managing infections caused by carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE). Methods We retrospectively analyzed observational data on the use and outcomes of CAZ-AVI therapy for infections caused by KPC-producing K. pneumoniae (KPC-Kp) strains. Multivariate regression analysis was used to identify variables independently associated with 30-day mortality. Results were adjusted for propensity score for receipt of CAZ-AVI combination regimens vs. CAZ-AVI monotherapy. Results The cohort comprised 577 adults with bloodstream infections (BSIs) (n=391) or non-bacteremic infections (nBSIs) involving mainly the urinary tract, lower respiratory tract, intra-abdominal structures. All received treatment with CAZ-AVI alone (n=165) or with one or more other active antimicrobials (n=412). The all-cause mortality rate 30 days after infection onset was 25% (146/577). There was no statistically significant difference in mortality between patients managed with CAZ-AVI alone and those treated with combination regimens (26.1% vs. 25.0%, P=0.79). In multivariate analysis, mortality was positively associated with the presence at infection onset of septic shock (P=0.002), neutropenia (P <0.001), or an INCREMENT score >8 (P=0.01); with LRTI (P=0.04); and with CAZ-AVI dose adjustment for renal function (P=0.01). Mortality was negatively associated with CAZ-AVI administration by prolonged infusion (P=0.006). All associations remained significant after propensity score adjustment. Conclusions CAZ-AVI is an important option for treating serious KPC-Kp infections, even when used alone. Further study is needed to explore the drug’s seemingly more limited efficacy in LRTIs and the potential survival benefits of prolonging CAZ-AVI infusions to 3 hours or more.

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The primary objective of this multicenter, observational, retrospective study was to assess the incidence rate of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients in intensive care units (ICU). The secondary objective was to assess predictors of 30-day case-fatality of VAP. From 15 February to 15 May 2020, 586 COVID-19 patients were admitted to the participating ICU. Of them, 171 developed VAP (29%) and were included in the study. The incidence rate of VAP was of 18 events per 1000 ventilator days (95% confidence intervals [CI] 16–21). Deep respiratory cultures were available and positive in 77/171 patients (45%). The most frequent organisms were Pseudomonas aeruginosa (27/77, 35%) and Staphylococcus aureus (18/77, 23%). The 30-day case-fatality of VAP was 46% (78/171). In multivariable analysis, septic shock at VAP onset (odds ratio [OR] 3.30, 95% CI 1.43–7.61, p = 0.005) and acute respiratory distress syndrome at VAP onset (OR 13.21, 95% CI 3.05–57.26, p < 0.001) were associated with fatality. In conclusion, VAP is frequent in critically ill COVID-19 patients. The related high fatality is likely the sum of the unfavorable prognostic impacts of the underlying viral and the superimposed bacterial diseases.

Objectives We aimed to develop and validate a risk score to predict severe respiratory failure (SRF) among patients hospitalized with coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19). Methods We performed a multicentre cohort study among hospitalized (>24 hours) patients diagnosed with COVID-19 from 22 February to 3 April 2020, at 11 Italian hospitals. Patients were divided into derivation and validation cohorts according to random sorting of hospitals. SRF was assessed from admission to hospital discharge and was defined as: Sp o 2 <93% with 100% Fi o 2 , respiratory rate >30 breaths/min or respiratory distress. Multivariable logistic regression models were built to identify predictors of SRF, β-coefficients were used to develop a risk score. Trial Registration NCT04316949 . Results We analysed 1113 patients (644 derivation, 469 validation cohort). Mean (±SD) age was 65.7 (±15) years, 704 (63.3%) were male. SRF occurred in 189/644 (29%) and 187/469 (40%) patients in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. At multivariate analysis, risk factors for SRF in the derivation cohort assessed at hospitalization were age ≥70 years (OR 2.74; 95% CI 1.66–4.50), obesity (OR 4.62; 95% CI 2.78–7.70), body temperature ≥38°C (OR 1.73; 95% CI 1.30–2.29), respiratory rate ≥22 breaths/min (OR 3.75; 95% CI 2.01–7.01), lymphocytes ≤900 cells/mm 3 (OR 2.69; 95% CI 1.60–4.51), creatinine ≥1 mg/dL (OR 2.38; 95% CI 1.59–3.56), C-reactive protein ≥10 mg/dL (OR 5.91; 95% CI 4.88–7.17) and lactate dehydrogenase ≥350 IU/L (OR 2.39; 95% CI 1.11–5.11). Assigning points to each variable, an individual risk score (PREDI-CO score) was obtained. Area under the receiver-operator curve was 0.89 (0.86–0.92). At a score of >3, sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were 71.6% (65%–79%), 89.1% (86%–92%), 74% (67%–80%) and 89% (85%–91%), respectively. PREDI-CO score showed similar prognostic ability in the validation cohort: area under the receiver-operator curve 0.85 (0.81–0.88). At a score of >3, sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were 80% (73%–85%), 76% (70%–81%), 69% (60%–74%) and 85% (80%–89%), respectively. Conclusion PREDI-CO score can be useful to allocate resources and prioritize treatments during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) may be associated with worse outcome in solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients. We performed a prospective cohort study of hospitalized patients with confirmed diagnosis of COVID‐19, from March 15 to April 30, 2020, at two tertiary hospitals in Emilia‐Romagna Region. SOT recipients were compared with non‐SOT patients. Primary endpoint was all‐cause 30‐day mortality. Relationship between SOT status and mortality was investigated by univariable and multivariable Cox regression analysis. Patients were assessed from COVID‐19 diagnosis to death or 30‐day whichever occurred first. Study cohort consisted of 885 patients, of them 24 SOT recipients (n = 22, kidney, n = 2 liver). SOT recipients were younger, had lower BMI, but higher Charlson Index. At admission they presented less frequently with fever and respiratory failure. No difference in 30‐day mortality between the two groups (19% vs 22.1%) was found; however, there was a trend toward higher rate of respiratory failure (50% vs 33.1%, P = .07) in SOT recipients. Superinfections were more represented in SOT recipients, (50% vs 15.5%, P < .001). At multivariate analysis adjusted for main covariates, there was no association between SOT and 30‐day mortality HR 1.15 (95% CI 0.39‐3.35) P = .79. Our data suggest that mortality among COVID‐19 SOT recipients is similar to general population.

Objectives: We examined factors associated with follow-up blood cultures (FUBCs) in patients with monomicrobial Gram-negative (GN) bloodstream infection (BSI) and investigated the impact of FUBCs on therapeutic management and patient outcome. Methods: A retrospective cohort analysis was conducted of adult patients diagnosed with GN-BSI at a tertiary-care university hospital during 2013e2016. FUBCs performed between 24 hours and 7 days after index BCs was the exposure variable. Risk factors for 30-day mortality were analysed by multivariate Cox analysis on the overall cohort, including FUBCs as a time-varying covariate and on 1:1 matched patients according to Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score and time to FUBC. Results: In 278 (17.6%) of 1576 patients, FUBCs were performed within a median of 3 and 2 days after index BCs and active antibiotic therapy initiation. Persistent BSI was found in 107 (38.5%) of 278 patients. FUBCs were performed in more severely ill patients, with nonurinary sources, difficult-to-treat pathogens and receipt of initial inappropriate therapy. Source control and infectious disease consultation rates were higher among patients with preceding FUBCs and was associated with longer treatment duration. Thirty-day mortality was 10.4%. Independent risk factors for mortality were Charlson comorbidity index (hazard ratio (HR) 1.12) SOFA (HR 1.11), septic shock (HR 2.64), urinary source (HR 0.60), central venous catheter source (HR 2.30), complicated BSI (HR 2.10), carbapenem resistance (HR 2.34), active empiric therapy (HR 0.68), source control (HR 0.34) and FUBCs (HR 0.48). Association between FUBCs and lower mortality was confirmed in the 274 matched pairs. Conclusions: FUBCs were performed in more severe GN-BSIs, yielding a high rate of persistent BSI. In this context, FUBCs were associated with lower mortality.

Background Tocilizumab blocks pro-inflammatory activity of interleukin-6 (IL-6), involved in pathogenesis of pneumonia the most frequent cause of death in COVID-19 patients. Methods A multicenter, single-arm, hypothesis-driven trial was planned, according to a phase 2 design, to study the effect of tocilizumab on lethality rates at 14 and 30 days (co-primary endpoints, a priori expected rates being 20 and 35%, respectively). A further prospective cohort of patients, consecutively enrolled after the first cohort was accomplished, was used as a secondary validation dataset. The two cohorts were evaluated jointly in an exploratory multivariable logistic regression model to assess prognostic variables on survival. Results In the primary intention-to-treat (ITT) phase 2 population, 180/301 (59.8%) subjects received tocilizumab, and 67 deaths were observed overall. Lethality rates were equal to 18.4% (97.5% CI: 13.6–24.0, P = 0.52) and 22.4% (97.5% CI: 17.2–28.3, P < 0.001) at 14 and 30 days, respectively. Lethality rates were lower in the validation dataset, that included 920 patients. No signal of specific drug toxicity was reported. In the exploratory multivariable logistic regression analysis, older age and lower PaO2/FiO2 ratio negatively affected survival, while the concurrent use of steroids was associated with greater survival. A statistically significant interaction was found between tocilizumab and respiratory support, suggesting that tocilizumab might be more effective in patients not requiring mechanical respiratory support at baseline. Conclusions Tocilizumab reduced lethality rate at 30 days compared with null hypothesis, without significant toxicity. Possibly, this effect could be limited to patients not requiring mechanical respiratory support at baseline. Registration EudraCT (2020-001110-38); clinicaltrials.gov (NCT04317092).