We identified factors associated with death at home for 28,828 hospice and non-hospice cancer patients in 13 counties of western Washington State. Hospice participation was found to be the variable most strongly associated with death at home. Admission to hospice appears to override the tendency for certain subgroups of patients, such as the extreme elderly and those diagnosed close to death, to die in an institutional setting. These findings are discussed with respect to the problem of selection bias.
Cancer rates are often compared between counties or other geographic units as a method of testing for risk from environmental exposures. Migration between geographic areas greatly reduces the sensitivity of this method. Under simplifying assumptions the quantitative effect of migration on risk estimates is shown using migration and cancer incidence data for the United States. For example, 40--50% of the relative excess risk, defined as the relative risk minus one, is not reflected in the estimated risk for most cancers, when rates are compared between exposed and unexposed counties and migration has taken place during a 30-year latent period. More extreme losses of sensitivity also occur. Under the simplifying assumptions, the quantitative effect of migration on risk estimates is shown as a function of cancer site, latent period, and the type of geographic units for which rates are calculated--states, counties, or places. Also discussed are some implications of these findings for geographically-based studies and additional data needs for assessing the effect of migration.
We designed a series of experiments and analyses to quantify the contribution of gravity to pulmonary perfusion heterogeneity. Regional pulmonary perfusion was measured in five anesthetized and ventilated dogs in both supine and prone positions by use of radiolabeled microspheres injected during apnea at functional residual capacity. Measurements of flow were repeated in each position, and the sequence of positions was prospectively designed to nullify any effect of order. The lungs of each animal were excised, perfused with saline until clear, dried at an inflation pressure of 25 cmH2O, and cut into 1.9-cm3 pieces. Each piece was weighed and the radioactivity determined in a scintillation counter. Measurement errors were minimized by excluding lung pieces that had greater than 25% airway and weighed less than 10 mg or greater than 60 mg. Weight-normalized flows in each position and repetition were determined for each lung piece. An analysis of variance model was used to identify the percentage of variation in regional flow that was due to position (supine vs. prone), to random error and time (measurement and repetition), and to structure, where structure was defined as the component of flow that remained constant across position and replication. The contributions of position, error/time, and structure to the total variability of flow across the five dogs were 7.8 +/- 0.6, 8.4 +/- 8.3, and 83.8 +/- 8.4%, (SD), respectively. Because the contribution of position represents the additive effect of gravity between two opposite positions, the contribution of gravity to perfusion heterogeneity in one position may be as little as 4%.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
A study was carried out to determine factors affecting place of death (home, hospital, nursing home or "other places") among all 426,115 resident deaths in Washington State during 1968-1981, using death certificate information. Sixteen percent of deaths occurred at home, 74% in institutions (51% in hospitals, 23% in nursing homes) and 9% at "other places." Age, marital status and cause of death all strongly affect place of death. Further, the effect of each factor was strongly dependent on the others. Sex had no effect on place of death after controlling for other factors. Elderly people died relatively more frequently in nursing homes, infants and middle aged people in hospitals and young adults in "other places." The frequency of deaths at home was quite constant by age. Hospitals were the most common place of death following both vascular disease (including heart attack) and neoplasms, and nursing homes were the most common place of death following cerebrovascular disease (including "stroke"). Race, socioeconomic status and urban or rural residents affected the place of death only slightly or not at all. The place of death pattern changed little during the time period 1968-1981, except for a slight increase in frequency of home deaths and a corresponding decrease in the frequency of deaths in other places. Among cancer patients, the likelihood of death at home was positively associated with longer periods of survival after diagnosis. Cancer patients of hospitals serving targeted populations, such as veterans, were relatively more likely to die in a hospital and less likely to die in a nursing home compared to other cancer patients, suggesting that the "targeted" hospitals are sometimes serving a nursing home function. There was a marked difference in the terminal cancer caseload by hospital. The number of cancer deaths per cancer diagnosis varied widely across hospitals (0.1 to 1.6) and was unrelated to size of the hospital or level of services offered. Intervention aimed at affecting place of death, such as increasing the number of deaths at home, will need to take account of the joint effect of age, marital status and disease.
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