Background
Numerous studies have shown that local therapy can improve long-term survival in patients with metastatic prostate cancer. However, it is unclear which patients are the potential beneficiaries.
Methods
We obtained information on prostate cancer patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database and divided eligible patients into the local treatment group and non-local treatment group. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to reduce the influence of confounding factors. In the matched local treatment (LT) group, if the median overall survival time (OS) was longer than the Nonlocal treatment (NLT) group, it was defined as a benefit group, otherwise, it was a non-benefit group. Then, univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to screen out predictors associated with benefits, and a nomogram model was constructed based on these factors. The accuracy and clinical value of the models were assessed through calibration plots and decision curve analysis.
Results
The study enrolled 7255 eligible patients, and after PSM, each component included 1923 patients. After matching, the median OS was still higher in the LT group than in the NLT group [42 (95% confidence interval: 39–45) months vs 40 (95% confidence interval: 38–42) months, p = 0.03]. The independent predictors associated with benefit were age, PSA, Gleason score, T stage, N stage, and M stage. The nomogram model has high accuracy and clinical application value in both the training set (C-index = 0.725) and the validation set (C-index = 0.664).
Conclusions
The nomogram model we constructed can help clinicians identify patients with potential benefits from LT and formulate a reasonable treatment plan.
BackgroundMitochondrial metabolic reprogramming (MMR)-mediated immunogenic cell death (ICD) is closely related to the tumor microenvironment (TME). Our purpose was to reveal the TME characteristics of clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) by using them.MethodsTarget genes were obtained by intersecting ccRCC differentially expressed genes (DEGs, tumor VS normal) with MMR and ICD-related genes. For the risk model, univariate COX regression and K-M survival analysis were used to identify genes most associated with overall survival (OS). Differences in the TME, function, tumor mutational load (TMB), and microsatellite instability (MSI) between high and low-risk groups were subsequently compared. Using risk scores and clinical variables, a nomogram was constructed. Predictive performance was evaluated by calibration plots and receiver operating characteristics (ROC).ResultsWe screened 140 DEGs, including 12 prognostic genes for the construction of risk models. We found that the immune score, immune cell infiltration abundance, and TMB and MSI scores were higher in the high-risk group. Thus, high-risk populations would benefit more from immunotherapy. We also identified the three genes (CENPA, TIMP1, and MYCN) as potential therapeutic targets, of which MYCN is a novel biomarker. Additionally, the nomogram performed well in both TCGA (1-year AUC=0.862) and E-MTAB-1980 cohorts (1-year AUC=0.909).ConclusionsOur model and nomogram allow accurate prediction of patients’ prognoses and immunotherapy responses.
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