Providing accurate load forecasting plays an important role for effective management operations of a power utility. When considering the superiority of support vector regression (SVR) in terms of non-linear optimization, this paper proposes a novel SVR-based load forecasting model, namely EMD-PSO-GA-SVR, by hybridizing the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) with two evolutionary algorithms, i.e., particle swarm optimization (PSO) and the genetic algorithm (GA). The EMD approach is applied to decompose the load data pattern into sequent elements, with higher and lower frequencies. The PSO, with global optimizing ability, is employed to determine the three parameters of a SVR model with higher frequencies. On the contrary, for lower frequencies, the GA, which is based on evolutionary rules of selection and crossover, is used to select suitable values of the three parameters. Finally, the load data collected from the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO) in the United States of America (USA) and the New South Wales (NSW) in the Australian electricity market are used to construct the proposed model and to compare the performances among different competitive forecasting models. The experimental results demonstrate the superiority of the proposed model that it can provide more accurate forecasting results and the interpretability than others.
Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is generally considered to be a key indicator for predicting the early progression of Alzheimer’s disease (AD). Currently, the brain connection (BC) estimated by fMRI data has been validated to be an effective diagnostic biomarker for MCI. Existing studies mainly focused on the single connection pattern for the neuro-disease diagnosis. Thus, such approaches are commonly insufficient to reveal the underlying changes between groups of MCI patients and normal controls (NCs), thereby limiting their performance. In this context, the information associated with multiple patterns (e.g., functional connectivity or effective connectivity) from single-mode data are considered for the MCI diagnosis. In this paper, we provide a novel multiple connection pattern combination (MCPC) approach to combine different patterns based on the kernel combination trick to identify MCI from NCs. In particular, sixty-three MCI cases and sixty-four NC cases from the ADNI dataset are conducted for the validation of the proposed MCPC method. The proposed method achieves 87.40% classification accuracy and significantly outperforms methods that use a single pattern.
Electric load forecasting is an important issue for a power utility, associated with the management of daily operations such as energy transfer scheduling, unit commitment, and load dispatch. Inspired by strong non-linear learning capability of support vector regression (SVR), this paper presents an SVR model hybridized with the differential empirical mode decomposition (DEMD) method and quantum particle swarm optimization algorithm (QPSO) for electric load forecasting. The DEMD method is employed to decompose the electric load to several detail parts associated with high frequencies (intrinsic mode function-IMF) and an approximate part associated with low frequencies. Hybridized with quantum theory to enhance particle searching performance, the so-called QPSO is used to optimize the parameters of SVR. The electric load data of the New South Wales (Sydney, Australia) market and the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO, New York, USA) are used for comparing the forecasting performances of different forecasting models. The results illustrate the validity of the idea that the proposed model can simultaneously provide forecasting with good accuracy and interpretability.
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