The transportation sector is a major source of greenhouse gases and air pollutants, and it has a crucial effect on the synergistic reduction of NOx and carbon. In order to find the energy-efficient vehicle technologies with the highest net reduction potential and lowest net reduction cost over the life cycle, this study traced the CO2 and NOx emission streams of 33 energy-efficient technologies, hidden in the supply chain during the production phase, through structural path analysis, and measured the emission reductions during the use phase using the emission factor method. Moreover, we applied structural decomposition analysis to quantify the three main drivers, including emission intensity, industrial structure, and final demand, of changes in CO2 and NOx emissions from 11 transport subsectors during 2012–2018. Results indicate that CO2 emissions of the transport sector more than doubled from 2012 to 2018; however, the influence of NOx was less significant. The final demand of the road subsector was the most significant driver contributing to CO2 emission changes, with an increase of 109.27 Mt. The emission intensity of road transportation caused the greatest mitigation effect on NOx emission changes, with a decrease of 1902 Kt. The findings of the scenario analysis demonstrate that the most efficient action of the pure electric technology for passenger cars reduces 20.92 Mt NOx emissions, and the parallel hybrid technology for heavy trucks offers the greatest cost effectiveness with a net abatement of 2577 Mt CO2 over its life cycle. Consequently, the aggressive development of new energy technology has become a prerequisite strategy to synergistically reduce CO2 and NOx emissions.
The transportation sector has a significant impact on the synergistic reduction of CO2 and pollutants. Using a structural path decomposition, we reveals the direct and embodied CO2 and NOx emissions from the transportation sector triggered by key supply chain pathways. Meanwhile, the emission abatement potential and economic costs of 33 vehicle specific abatement technology options are analyzed based on the input-output analysis for life cycle assessment. The results show that most of the vehicle technology options can reduce CO2 and NOx emissions while saving economic costs. Among these technologies, both the pure electric technology for passenger cars and the parallel hybrid technology for heavy-duty trucks have high abatement potential. Compared to costly pure electrification technologies for passenger cars, parallel hybrid technologies for heavy-duty trucks offer the highest economic benefits as well as a better driving mileage. Therefore, hybrid heavy-duty trucks will be a more comprehensive solution in the near future.
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