Objective. To assess the prognosis of stage IV metastatic urinary bladder urothelial carcinoma (UBUC) at initial diagnosis and determine prognostic factors based on distant organ metastasis. Methods. A retrospective cohort analysis of UBUC was conducted based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to determine the variables associated with overall survival (OS). Kaplan–Meier curves were used to compare survival curves among different groups. Results. A total of 3103 patients with stage IV UBUC were selected for analysis. The number of distant organ metastatic sites independently predicted the OS. The OS was not different in other metastatic sites when bone metastasis was used as a reference P > 0.05 . However, the OS was shorter for a single metastatic site P < 0.001 and multiple metastatic sites when metastasis was not used as a reference P < 0.001 . Multivariable Cox regression analysis indicated that low survivorship was independently associated with no surgery for the entire cohort and patients with only one metastatic organ. Sex (P = 0.019) and grade (P = 0.046) were the independent risk factors for patients with only one metastatic organ. Conclusions These results show that the prognosis of stage IV metastatic UBUC is not different between any single metastatic organ. The prognosis of stage IV metastatic UBUC depends on the number of distant organ metastasis. This study determined some predictors of survival and thus may help therapists to choose appropriate treatment strategies for metastatic UBUC.
Background Although the number of patients with bladder cancer and lung metastasis is increasing there is no accurate model for predicting survival in these patients. Methods Patients enrolled in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between 2010 and 2015 were selected for the study. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were used to determine independent prognostic factors, followed by development of a nomogram based on the multivariate Cox regression models. The consistency index, receiver operating characteristic curve, and calibration curve were used to validate the prognostic nomogram. Results 506 eligible bladder cancer patients with lung metastasis were enrolled in the study and then divided randomly into training and validation sets (n = 356 vs. n = 150). Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that age at diagnosis, primary site, histological type, surgery of the primary site, chemotherapy, bone metastasis, and liver metastasis were prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) in patients with lung metastasis in the training set. The C-index of the nomogram OS was 0.699 and 0.747 in the training and validation sets, respectively. ROC curve estimation of the nomogram in the training and validation sets showed acceptable accuracy for classifying 1-year survival, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.766 and 0.717, respectively. More importantly, the calibration plot showed the nomogram had favorable predictive accuracy in both the training and validation sets. Conclusions The prognostic nomogram created in our study provides an individualized diagnosis, remedy, and risk evaluation for survival in patients with bladder cancer and lung metastasis. The nomogram would therefore enable clinicians to make more precise treatment decisions for patients with bladder cancer and lung metastasis.
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Introduction. The aim of this study is to examine the treatment pattern and predictors of long-term survival of patients with primary signet ring cell carcinoma (PSRCC) of the urinary bladder based on the analysis of the SEER database. Methods. The 3-year and 5-year overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were calculated using the Kaplan–Meier method. Then, we compared the CSS curves by the log-rank test. The independent risk factors were determined using univariate and multivariate Cox regression. Results. The 3-year OS and CSS rates for PSRCC of the bladder were 25.3% and 33.3%. The 5-year OS and CSS rates for the entire cohort were 16.4% and 25.2%. The CSS rates, respectively, were 0, 25.0, 66.7, 33.2, 42.4, and 31.7% at 3 years and 0, 25.0, 34.3, 24.1, 27.2, and 31.7% at 5 years for none, transurethral resection of the bladder (TURB), partial cystectomy, radical cystectomy with reconstruction, pelvic exenteration, and other surgeries (P = 0.001). Multivariate analyses showed independent risk factors only including T stage, M stage, lymph node removal, and surgical approach. Conclusions. T stage, M stage, lymph node removal, and surgical approach are independent risk factors of PSRCC of the urinary bladder. TURB and radical cystectomy with reconstruction appear to provide a better outcome.
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