A heatwave (HW) is a spatiotemporally contiguous event that is spatially widespread and lasts many days. HWs impose severe impacts on many aspects of society and terrestrial ecosystems. Here, we systematically investigate the influence of the selected threshold method (the absolute threshold method (), quantile-based method (), and moving quantile-based method ()) and selected variables (heat index (), air temperature ()) on the change patterns of spatiotemporally contiguous heatwave (STHW) characteristics over China from 1961–2017. Moreover, we discuss the different STHW change patterns among different HW severities (mild, moderate, and severe) and types (daytime and nighttime). The results show that (1) all threshold methods show a consistent phenomenon in most regions of China: STHWs have become longer-lasting (6.42%, 66.25%, and 148.58% HW days () increases were found from 1991–2017 compared to 1961–1990 corresponding to , , and , respectively, as below), more severe (14.83%, 89.17%, and 158.92% increases in HW severity () increases), and more spatially widespread (14.92%, 134%, and 245.83% increases in the summed HW area ()). However, the HW frequency () of moderate STHWs in some regions decreased as mild and moderate STHWs became extreme; (2) for threshold methods that do not consider seasonal variations (i.e., and ), the spatial exceedance continuity was relatively weak, thus resulting in underestimated STHW characteristics increase rates; (3) for different variables defining STHWs, the relative changing ratio of the -based STHW was approximately 20% higher than that of the -based STHW for all STHW characteristics, under the threshold; (4) for different STHW types, the nighttime STHW was approximately 60% faster than the daytime STHW increase considering the threshold and approximately 120% faster for the method. This study provides a systematic investigation of different STHW definition methods and will benefit future STHW research.
Since the 21st century, large cities around the world have experienced the transition from economically destructive development to a harmonious eco-environment. Understanding the dynamic relationships between human activities and urban eco-environment in this transition is a challenging and essential topic. The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) can reflect the urban vegetation cover status well. Socio-economic indexes can present the intensity and spatiality of human activities quantitatively. This work aims to use traditional regression models and machine learning algorithms to analyze the impact of socio-economic factors on NDVI accurately. Random forest regression (RFR) was performed to initially assess the contributions of all factors on NDVI, which was the numerical basis for feature selection. Subsequently, detailed dynamic relationship simulations were implemented using geographically weighted regression. In the case of Wuhan in China, the results showed that the goodness-of-fit of NDVI with socio-economic factors generally exceeded 50%. The influence coefficients changed from negative to positive, and 2010 was the turning point, indicating that human activities gradually played a favorable role in protecting vegetation during this transition period. The urban–rural interface, which was located between urban centers and marginal urban suburbs, was the area where human activities contributed most to vegetation. Thus, policy makers should focus on planning and managing housing construction and vegetation planting in urban–rural interface to relieve the population burden of the central area and improve the environmental conditions of the urban eco-environment subconsciously.
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