Key Points Question What percentage of the Virginia population had been exposed to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 after the first wave of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infections in the US? Findings In this cross-sectional study of 4675 adult outpatients presenting for non–COVID-19–associated health care in Virginia, a seroprevalence of approximately 2% was found, with an estimated 66% of seropositive results associated with asymptomatic infections. Hispanic ethnicity, residence in a multifamily unit, and contact with an individual with confirmed COVID-19 infection were risk factors significantly associated with exposure. Meaning This study found that, as of August 2020, the population of Virginia remained largely immunologically naive to the virus.
Recently we introduced a modified Mini Nutritional Assessment (MNA) Short Form (MNA-SF) and Long Form (MNA-SF) with operationalization of the ‘mobility’ and ‘neuropsychological problems’ items of the MNA using scores on Barthel Index mobility item and Mini Mental State Examination and Geriatric Depression Scale scores. We have now evaluated the abilities of this modified MNA-SF and MNA-LF to predict mortality in comparison with the standard MNA-SF and MNA-LF and the Nutritional Risk Screening 2002 (NRS 2002) and the Malnutrition Universal Screening Tool (MUST). A prospective analysis was performed in 240 hospitalised geriatric patients aged ≥ 65 years. Malnutrition and/or malnutrition risk were assessed using the modified MNA-SF and MNA-LF, the standard MNA-SF and MNA-LF, and the NRS 2002 and MUST. The modified MNA-SF and MNA-LF and the standard MNA-SF and MNA-LF assessments (all p < 0.05), but not NRS 2002 or MUST (all p ≥ 0.05), predicted six-month and/or one-year mortality. Prediction of six-month and/or one-year mortality by the modified MNA-SF was comparable with predictions by the standard MNA-SF and MNA-LF (all p ≥ 0.05). The modified MNA-LF showed better prediction of six-month and one-year mortality than the standard MNA-SF and MNA-LF (all p < 0.05). The modified MNA-LF (all adjusted p < 0.05), but none of the other instruments (all adjusted p ≥ 0.05), predicted six-month and one-year mortality independently of age, sex, frailty, comorbidity and ADL disability burden. The modified MNA-SF and MNA-LF emerged as potentially valuable tools for predicting mortality in patients hospitalised on geriatric wards.
Background: Virginia is a large state in the USA, yet it remains unclear what percentage of the population has had natural COVID-19 infection and whether risk factors for infection have changed over time. Methods: Using a longitudinal cohort, from December 2021-July 2021 we performed follow up serology and a questionnaire on 784 individuals from across Virginia who had previously participated in a statewide COVID-19 seroepidemiology study in 2020. Children were also invited to participate and an additional 62 children also completed the study. Serology was performed using Roche nucleocapsid and spike serological assays. Results: The majority of participants were white (78.6%), over 50 years old (60.9%), and reported having received COVID-19 vaccine (93.4%). 28.6% had evidence of prior COVID-19 infection (nucleocapsid positive). Approximately 25-53% of COVID-19 infections were asymptomatic. Infection rates were lower in individuals >60 years old and were higher in Blacks and Hispanics. Infection rates were also higher in those without health insurance, in those with greater numbers of household children, and in those that reported a close contact or having undergone quarantine for COVID-19. Participants from Southwest Virginia had lower seropositivity (16.2%, 95% CI 6.5, 26.0) than other geographic regions. Boosted vaccinees had lower infection rates than non-boosted vaccinees. Frequenting indoor bars trended towards being a significant risk factor for infection, while frequently wearing an N95 mask trended towards protection. Infection rates were higher in children than adults (56.5% vs. 28.6%). Infection in the parent was a risk factor for child infection. Spike antibody levels declined with time since last vaccination, particularly in those that were vaccinated but not previously infected. Conclusions: In this longitudinal statewide cohort we observed a lower than expected COVID-19 infection rate as of August 2022. Boosted vaccinees had lower infection rates. Children had higher infection rates and infections tracked within households. Previously identified demographic risk factors for infection tended to persist. Even after the omicron peak, a large number of Virginians remain uninfected with COVID-19, underscoring the need for ongoing vaccination strategies.
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