One of the most promising ways to observe the Universe is by detecting the 21cm emission from cosmic neutral hydrogen (HI) through radio-telescopes. Those observations can shed light on fundamental astrophysical questions only if accurate theoretical predictions are available. In order to maximize the scientific return of these surveys, those predictions need to include different observables and be precise on non-linear scales. Currently, one of the best ways to achieve this is via cosmological hydrodynamic simulations; however, the computational cost of these simulations is high -tens of millions of CPU hours. In this work, we use Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Networks (WGANs) to generate new high-resolution (35 h −1 kpc) 3D realizations of cosmic HI at z = 5. We do so by sampling from a 100-dimension manifold that the generator learns to map to samples that match closely the fully non-linear abundance and clustering of cosmic HI from the state-of-the-art simulation IllustrisTNG. We show that different statistical properties of the produced samples -1D PDF, power spectrum, bispectrum, and void size function -match very well those of IllustrisTNG, and outperform state-ofthe-art models such as Halo Occupation Distributions (HODs). Our WGAN samples reproduce the abundance of HI across 9 orders of magnitude, from the Lyα forest to Damped Lyman Absorbers. WGAN can produce new samples five orders of magnitude faster than hydrodynamic simulations.
In the coming years, a new generation of sky surveys, in particular, Euclid Space Telescope (2022), and the Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST, 2023) will discover more than 200,000 new strong gravitational lenses, which represents an increase of more than two orders of magnitude compared to currently known sample sizes [1]. Accurate and fast analysis of such large volumes of data under a statistical framework is therefore crucial for all sciences enabled by strong lensing. Here, we report on the application of simulation-based inference methods, in particular, density estimation techniques, to the predictions of the set of parameters of strong lensing systems from neural networks. This allows us to explicitly impose desired priors on lensing parameters, while guaranteeing convergence to the optimal posterior in the limit of perfect performance.
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