ABSTRACT:Lumped, conceptual groundwater models can be used to simulate groundwater level time-

Abstract:A simple process-based approach to predict regional-scale loading of nitrate at the water table was implemented in a GIS for Great Britain. This links a nitrate input function, unsaturated zone thickness and lithologically-dependent rate of nitrate unsaturated zone travel to estimate arrival time of nitrate at the water table. The nitrate input function is the loading at the base of the soil and has been validated using unsaturated zone pore-water profiles. The unsaturated zone thickness uses groundwater levels based on regional-scale observations infilled by interpolated river base levels. Estimates of the rate of unsaturated zone travel are attributed from regional-scale hydrogeological mapping. The results indicate that peak nitrate loading may have already arrived at the water table for many aquifers, but that it has not where the unsaturated zone is relatively thick There are contrasting outcomes for the two main aquifers which have similar unsaturated zone velocities, the predominantly low relief Permo-Triassic sandstones and the Chalk, which forms significant topographic features. For about 60% of the Chalk, the peak input has not yet reached the water table and will continue to arrive over the next 60 years. The methodology is readily transferable and provides a robust method for estimating peak arrival time for any diffuse conservative pollutant where an input function can be defined at a regional scale and requires only depth to groundwater and a hydrogeological classification. The methodology is extendable in that if additional information is available this can easily be incorporated into the model scheme.

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Abstract:National terrestrial nitrogen budgets for many developed countries have been calculated as part of the management of impacts of N on the environment, but these rarely represent the subsurface explicitly. Using estimates of vadose zone travel time and agricultural nitrate loading, we quantify, for the first time, the total mass of nitrate contained in the vadose zone of aquifers in England and Wales. This mass peaked in 2008 at 1400 kt N (800 to >1700 kt N from sensitivity analyses), which is approximately 2.5 to 6 times greater than saturated zone estimates for this period and indicates that the subsurface is an important store of reactive nitrogen. About 70% of the nitrate mass is estimated to be in the Chalk, with the remainder split between the Permo-Triassic sandstones, the Jurassic Oolitic limestones and minor aquifers. Current controls on fertilizer application mean that the vadose zone is now a nitrate source, and in 2015 we estimate the net flux from the unsaturated zone to groundwater to be 72 kt N/a. The mass of nitrate in the vadose zone should be included in future terrestrial nitrogen budgets at national and global scales to improve ecosystem management. British Geological Survey

A numerical catchment-scale model capable of simulating diffuse water pollution is necessary in sustainable environmental management for better implementation of the EU Water Framework Directive. This paper provides critical reviews of most popular and free models for diffuse water modelling, with detailed sources and application potential. Based upon these reviews, further work of selecting and testing the HSPF model was carried out, with a case study in the Upper Bann Catchment, NorthernIreland. The calibrated and validated HSPF model can well represent the characteristics of surface water quantity and quality. Climate change scenario evaluation in five years showed that when the annual mean temperature increase 3°C the mean yearly total runoff volume will decrease by 11.1% and the mean daily river flow 11.4%. If 20% crop and pasture land is converted into forest land in the study area, the mean river concentration of nitrate, nitrite, NH 4 and PO 4 in five years will decrease by 19.4%, 33.3%, 31.3% and 31.3% respectively. When applying filter strip method in 80% crop and pasture land in the area, the reduction of the mean concentration of nitrate, nitrite, NH 4 and PO 4 in five years will be 15.3%, 33.3%, 31.3%, and 5.6% respectively. This Software availabilitySoftware name/source: all reviewed software are mentioned in the text.

The catchment-scale groundwater vulnerability assessment that delineates zones representing different levels of groundwater susceptibility to contaminants from diffuse agricultural sources has become an important element in groundwater pollution prevention for the implementation of the EU Water Framework Directive (WFD). This paper evaluates the DRASTIC method using an ArcGIS platform for assessing groundwater vulnerability in the Upper Bann catchment, Northern Ireland. Groundwater vulnerability maps of both general pollutants and pesticides in the study area were generated by using data on the factors depth to water, net recharge, aquifer media, soil media, topography, impact of vadose zone, and hydraulic conductivity, as defined in DRASTIC. The mountain areas in the study area have "high" (in 4.5% of the study area) or "moderate" (in 25.5%) vulnerability for general pollutants due to high rainfall, net recharge and soil permeability. However, by considering the diffuse agricultural sources, the mountain areas are actually at low groundwater pollution risk. The results of overlaying the maps of land use and the groundwater vulnerability are closer to the reality. This study shows that the DRASTIC method is helpful for guiding the prevention practices of groundwater pollution at the catchment scale in the UK.

9The calculation of distributed recharge is necessary to drive numerical groundwater models used to 10 manage and protect groundwater resources, to assess the impact of anthropogenic stresses and 11climate change, and to study the viability of technologies, such as exploiting the heat stored in the 12 ground. A national scale model allows policy-makers and governmental decision-makers to set policy 13 within the correct geographical context. However, many challenges are associated with building 14 large scale models, for example, the representation of processes on coarse grid resolution. This 15 study presents distributed potential recharge values, calculated using the modified EA/FAO recharge 16 algorithm. The model calibration is presented and the simulated potential recharge values and soil 17 moisture deficit values are compared with estimates provided by the Environment Agency and the 18Meteorological Office. Long-term average potential recharge values are very small in the east of the 19 UK but they increase significantly towards the west and north reaching values as high as 8 mm day -1 20 over the hills of Wales and Scotland. While this study highlights the need for further model 21 refinement, the presented results are useful for assessing the potential recharge values at a national 22 scale and for undertaking water resources studies especially in catchments with unconfined/near-23 surface aquifers. 24

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