An assessment has been conducted of the potential effect of climate change on runoff in Spain in the 21st century. Runoff depths were calculated with a precipitation runoff model that used as input downscaled global climate model (GCM) outputs. The spatial and temporal resolution of the calculations was 1 km 2 and 1 month, respectively. The assessment consisted of comparing runoff values of the
<p>In this paper we present the upgrade &#160;of &#160;a web tool designed to help in the decision making process for water reservoirs management in Spain. The tool, called S-ClimWaRe (Seasonal Climate predictions in support of Water Reservoirs management) is organized in two main displaying panels. The first one -diagnostic panel- allows the user to explore, for any water reservoir or grid point over continental Spain, the existing hydrological variability and risk linked to climate variability. &#160;The second one -forecasting panel- provides probabilistic seasonal predictions for some variables of interest. Following users&#8217; need the tool initially covers the extended winter season (from November to March), when the North Atlantic Oscillation pattern strongly influences the hydrological interannual variability in South-Western Europe. This climate service is fully user driven with a strong commitment of users and stakeholders that has allowed &#160;continuous improvement of this tool, meeting users requirements and incorporating latest scientific progress.<br>The latest S-ClimWaRe version -developed in the framework of the MEDSCOPE project within the European Research Area for Climate Services (ERA4CS) initiative- includes some technical enhancements requested by customers and new seasonal predictions obtained through application of two post-processing steps to ECMWF System-5 forecasts. These two steps consist of a &#160;downscaling statistical procedure and a new methodology that combines different skilful NAO forecasts to create an optimal NAO pdf that is then used to weight the ensemble members forecasts of hydrological variables. The new upgraded S-ClimWaRe web tool enriches the forecasting panel with precipitation and water inflow forecast skill, and provides additional forecasts for accumulated snowfall and temperature. A prototype based on two different hydrological models to produce the seasonal forecasts of water inflow has also been tested over a pilot dam. These hydrological models are driven by the &#160;downscaled precipitation and temperature forecasts also introduced in the web viewer. The assessment of this downscaling procedure shows promising results with respect to the existing seasonal forecasts based on a statistical approach.</p>
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