Increasing reservoir storage is commonly proposed to mitigate increasing water demand and provide drought reserves, especially in semiarid regions such as California. This paper examines the value of expanding surface reservoir capacity in California using hydroeconomic modeling for historical conditions, a future warm‐dry climate, and California's recently adopted policy to end groundwater overdraft. Results show expanding surface storage capacity rarely provides sizable economic value in most of California. On average, expanding facilities north of California's Delta provides some benefit in 92% of 82 years modeled under historical conditions and in 61% of years modeled in a warm‐dry climate. South of California's Delta, expanding storage capacity provides no benefits in 14% of years modeled under historical conditions and 99% of years modeled with a warm‐dry climate. Results vary across facilities between and within regions. The limited benefit of surface storage capacity expansion to statewide water supply should be considered in planning California's water infrastructure.
Small Unmanned Aerial Systems (sUAS) show promise in being able to collect high resolution spatiotemporal data over small extents. Use of such remote sensing platforms also show promise for quantifying uncertainty in more ubiquitous Earth Observation System (EOS) data, such as evapotranspiration and consumptive use of water in agricultural systems. This study compares measurements of evapotranspiration (ET) from a commercial vineyard in California using data collected from sUAS and EOS sources for 10 events over a growing season using multiple ET estimation methods. Results indicate that sUAS ET estimates that include non-canopy pixels are generally lower on average than EOS methods by >0.5 mm day−1. sUAS ET estimates that mask out non-canopy pixels are generally higher than EOS methods by <0.5 mm day−1. Masked sUAS ET estimates are less variable than unmasked sUAS and EOS ET estimates. This study indicates that limited deployment of sUAS can provide important estimates of uncertainty in EOS ET estimations for larger areas and to also improve irrigation management at a local scale.
California’s San Joaquin Valley is both drought-prone and water-scarce but relies on high-intensity agriculture as its primary economy. Climate change adaptation strategies for high-intensity agriculture require reliable and highly resolved land use classification data to accurately account for changes in crop water demand, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and farmgate revenue. Understanding direct and indirect economic impacts from potential changes to high-intensity agriculture to reduce groundwater overdrafts, such as reductions in the cultivated area or switching to less water-intensive crops, is unachievable if land use data are too coarse and inconsistent or misclassified. This study quantified the revenue, crop water requirement, and GHG emission discrepancies resulting from land use misclassification in the United States’ most complex agricultural region, California’s San Joaquin Valley. By comparing three commonly used land use classification datasets—CropScape, Land IQ, and Kern County Agriculture—this study found that CropScape led to considerable revenue and crop water requirement discrepancies compared to other sources. Crop misclassification across all datasets resulted in an underestimation of GHG emissions. The total revenue discrepancies of misclassified crops by area for the 2016 dataset comparisons result in underestimations by CropScape of around USD 3 billion and overestimation by LIQ and Kern Ag of USD 72 million. Reducing crop misclassification discrepancies is essential for crafting climate resilience strategies, especially for California, which generates USD 50 billion in annual agricultural revenue, faces increasing water scarcity, and aims to reach carbon neutrality by 2045. Additional investments are needed to produce spatial land use data that are highly resolved and locally validated, especially in high-intensity agriculture regions dominated by specialty crops with unique characteristics not well suited to national mapping efforts.
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