Migratory species can experience limiting factors at different locations and during different periods of their annual cycle. In migratory birds, these factors may even occur in different hemispheres. Therefore, identifying the distribution of populations throughout their annual cycle (i.e., migratory connectivity) can reveal the complex ecological and evolutionary relationships that link species and ecosystems across the globe and illuminate where and how limiting factors influence population trends. A growing body of literature continues to identify species that exhibit weak connectivity wherein individuals from distinct breeding areas co-occur during the nonbreeding period. A detailed account of a broadly distributed species exhibiting strong migratory connectivity in which nonbreeding isolation of populations is associated with differential population trends remains undescribed. Here, we present a range-wide assessment of the nonbreeding distribution and migratory connectivity of two broadly dispersed Nearctic-Neotropical migratory songbirds. We used geolocators to track the movements of 70 warblers from sites spanning their breeding distribution in eastern North America and identified links between breeding populations and nonbreeding areas. Unlike blue-winged warblers (), breeding populations of golden-winged warblers () exhibited strong migratory connectivity, which was associated with historical trends in breeding populations: stable for populations that winter in Central America and declining for those that winter in northern South America.

ABSTRACT. Among shrubland-and young forest-nesting bird species in North America, Golden-winged Warblers (Vermivora chrysoptera) are one of the most rapidly declining partly because of limited nesting habitat. Creation and management of high quality vegetation communities used for nesting are needed to reduce declines. Thus, we examined whether common characteristics could be managed across much of the Golden-winged Warbler's breeding range to increase daily survival rate (DSR) of nests. We monitored 388 nests on 62 sites throughout Minnesota, Wisconsin, New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, and West Virginia. We evaluated competing DSR models in spatial-temporal (dominant vegetation type, population segment, state, and year), intraseasonal (nest stage and time-within-season), and vegetation model suites. The best-supported DSR models among the three model suites suggested potential associations between daily survival rate of nests and state, time-within-season, percent grass and Rubus cover within 1 m of the nest, and distance to later successional forest edge. Overall, grass cover (negative association with DSR above 50%) and Rubus cover (DSR lowest at about 30%) within 1 m of the nest and distance to later successional forest edge (negative association with DSR) may represent common management targets across our states for increasing Golden-winged Warbler DSR, particularly in the Appalachian Mountains population segment. Context-specific adjustments to management strategies, such as in wetlands or areas of overlap with Blue-winged Warblers (Vermivora cyanoptera), may be necessary to increase DSR for Golden-winged Warblers. Variables associées à la survie des nids de Paruline à ailes dorées (Vermivora chrysoptera) parmi les communautés végétales fréquemment utilisées pour nicherRÉSUMÉ. Parmi les espèces d'oiseaux d'Amérique du Nord qui nichent dans les milieux arbustifs et les jeunes forêts, la Paruline à ailes dorées (Vermivora chrysoptera) est l'une de celles dont les populations diminuent le plus rapidement en raison du peu de milieux de nidification. Afin de freiner cette baisse, la création et l'aménagement de communautés végétales de qualité sont nécessaires pour la nidification de l'espèce. Nous avons examiné s'il était possible d'aménager sur la base de caractéristiques communes dans une grande partie de l'aire de reproduction de cette paruline pour augmenter le taux de survie quotidien des nids (TSQ). Nous avons suivi 388 nids dans 62 stations réparties au Minnesota, au Wisconsin, dans l'État de New York, en Caroline du Nord, en Pennsylvanie, au Tennessee et en Virginie occidentale. Nous avons évalué trois séries de modèles de TSQ fondés sur les caractéristiques spatio-temporelles (type de végétation dominante, segment de la population, État et année), intrasaisonnières (stade du nid et moment durant la saison) et végétales. Parmi tous les modèles, les meilleurs montraient une association potentielle du taux de survie quotidien des nids avec l'État, le moment durant la saison, le pourcent...

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Extensive range loss for the Golden-winged Warbler (Vermivora chrysoptera) has occurred in areas of intrusion by the Bluewinged Warbler (V. cyanoptera) potentially related to their close genetic relationship. We compiled data on social pairing from nine studies for 2,679 resident Vermivora to assess evolutionary divergence. Hybridization between pure phenotypes occurred with 1.2% of resident males for sympatric populations. Pairing success rates for Golden-winged Warblers was 83% and for Blue-winged Warblers was 77%. Pairing success for the hybrid Brewster's Warbler was significantly lower from both species at 54%, showing sexual selection against hybrids. Backcross frequencies for Golden-winged Warblers at 4.9% was significantly