In the noisy cellular environment, gene products are subject to inherent random fluctuations in copy numbers over time. How cells ensure precision in the timing of key intracellular events despite such stochasticity is an intriguing fundamental problem. We formulate event timing as a first-passage time problem, where an event is triggered when the level of a protein crosses a critical threshold for the first time. Analytical calculations are performed for the first-passage time distribution in stochastic models of gene expression. Derivation of these formulas motivates an interesting question: Is there an optimal feedback strategy to regulate the synthesis of a protein to ensure that an event will occur at a precise time, while minimizing deviations or noise about the mean? Counterintuitively, results show that for a stable long-lived protein, the optimal strategy is to express the protein at a constant rate without any feedback regulation, and any form of feedback (positive, negative, or any combination of them) will always amplify noise in event timing. In contrast, a positive feedback mechanism provides the highest precision in timing for an unstable protein. These theoretical results explain recent experimental observations of single-cell lysis times in bacteriophage λ. Here, lysis of an infected bacterial cell is orchestrated by the expression and accumulation of a stable λ protein up to a threshold, and precision in timing is achieved via feedforward rather than feedback control. Our results have broad implications for diverse cellular processes that rely on precise temporal triggering of events.first-passage time | event timing | stochastic gene expression | feedback control | single cell T iming of events in many cellular processes, such as cell-cycle control (1-3), cell differentiation (4, 5), sporulation (6, 7), apoptosis (8, 9), development (10, 11), temporal order of gene expression (12)(13)(14), and so on, depend on regulatory proteins reaching critical threshold levels. Triggering of these events in single cells is influenced by fluctuations in protein levels that arise naturally due to noise in gene expression (15)(16)(17)(18). Increasing evidence shows considerable cell-to-cell variation in timing of intracellular events among isogenic cells (19-21), and it is unclear how noisy expression generates this variation. Characterization of control strategies that buffer stochasticity in event timing are critically needed to understand reliable functioning of diverse intracellular pathways that rely on precision in timing.Mathematically, noise in the timing of events can be investigated via the first-passage time (FPT) framework, where an event is triggered when a stochastic process (single-cell protein level) crosses a critical threshold for the first time. There is already a rich tradition of using such FPT approaches to study timing of events in biological and physical sciences (22-26). Following this tradition, exact analytical expression for the FPT distribution is computed in experimentally valida...

How exponentially growing cells maintain size homeostasis is an important fundamental problem. Recent single-cell studies in prokaryotes have uncovered the adder principle, where cells add a fixed size (volume) from birth to division, irrespective of their size at birth. To mechanistically explain the adder principle, we consider a timekeeper protein that begins to get stochastically expressed after cell birth at a rate proportional to the volume. Cell-division time is formulated as the first-passage time for protein copy numbers to hit a fixed threshold. Consistent with data, the model predicts that the noise in division timing increases with size at birth. Intriguingly, our results show that the distribution of the volume added between successive cell-division events is independent of the newborn cell size. This was dramatically seen in experimental studies, where histograms of the added volume corresponding to different newborn sizes collapsed on top of each other. The model provides further insights consistent with experimental observations: the distribution of the added volume when scaled by its mean becomes invariant of the growth rate. In summary, our simple yet elegant model explains key experimental findings and suggests a mechanism for regulating both the mean and fluctuations in cell-division timing for controlling size.

In the stochastic description of biochemical reaction systems, the time evolution of statistical moments for species population counts is described by a linear dynamical system. However, except for some ideal cases (such as zero- and first-order reaction kinetics), the moment dynamics is underdetermined as lower-order moments depend upon higher-order moments. Here, we propose a novel method to find exact lower and upper bounds on stationary moments for a given arbitrary system of biochemical reactions. The method exploits the fact that statistical moments of any positive-valued random variable must satisfy some constraints that are compactly represented through the positive semidefiniteness of moment matrices. Our analysis shows that solving moment equations at steady state in conjunction with constraints on moment matrices provides exact lower and upper bounds on the moments. These results are illustrated by three different examples-the commonly used logistic growth model, stochastic gene expression with auto-regulation and an activator-repressor gene network motif. Interestingly, in all cases the accuracy of the bounds is shown to improve as moment equations are expanded to include higher-order moments. Our results provide avenues for development of approximation methods that provide explicit bounds on moments for nonlinear stochastic systems that are otherwise analytically intractable.

At the single-cell level, noise arises from multiple sources, such as inherent stochasticity of biomolecular processes, random partitioning of resources at division, and fluctuations in cellular growth rates. How these diverse noise mechanisms combine to drive variations in cell size within an isoclonal population is not well understood. Here, we investigate the contributions of different noise sources in well-known paradigms of cell-size control, such as adder (division occurs after adding a fixed size from birth), sizer (division occurs after reaching a size threshold), and timer (division occurs after a fixed time from birth). Analysis reveals that variation in cell size is most sensitive to errors in partitioning of volume among daughter cells, and not surprisingly, this process is well regulated among microbes. Moreover, depending on the dominant noise mechanism, different size-control strategies (or a combination of them) provide efficient buffering of size variations. We further explore mixer models of size control, where a timer phase precedes/follows an adder, as has been proposed in Caulobacter crescentus. Although mixing a timer and an adder can sometimes attenuate size variations, it invariably leads to higher-order moments growing unboundedly over time. This results in a power-law distribution for the cell size, with an exponent that depends inversely on the noise in the timer phase. Consistent with theory, we find evidence of power-law statistics in the tail of C. crescentus cell-size distribution, although there is a discrepancy between the observed power-law exponent and that predicted from the noise parameters. The discrepancy, however, is removed after data reveal that the size added by individual newborns in the adder phase itself exhibits power-law statistics. Taken together, this study provides key insights into the role of noise mechanisms in size homeostasis, and suggests an inextricable link between timer-based models of size control and heavy-tailed cell-size distributions.

Growth of a cell and its subsequent division into daughters is a fundamental aspect of all cellular living systems. During these processes, how do individual cells correct size aberrations so that they do not grow abnormally large or small? How do cells ensure that the concentration of essential gene products are maintained at desired levels, in spite of dynamic/stochastic changes in cell size during growth and division? Both these questions have fascinated researchers for over a century. We review how advances in singe-cell technologies and measurements are providing unique insights into these questions across organisms from prokaryotes to human cells. More specifically, diverse strategies based on timing of cell-cycle events, regulating growth, and number of daughters are employed to maintain cell size homeostasis. Interestingly, size homeostasis often results in size optimality - proliferation of individual cells in a population is maximized at an optimal cell size. We further discuss how size-dependent expression or gene-replication timing can buffer concentration of a gene product from cell-to-cell size variations within a population. Finally, we speculate on an intriguing hypothesis that specific size control strategies may have evolved as a consequence of gene-product concentration homeostasis.