In this paper, the applicability and the effectiveness of the probabilistic finite element methods (FEMs) such as the perturbation method, and the Spectral Stochastic Finite Element Method (SSFEM) applied to the reliability analysis of the slope stability have been studied. The results were checked by the Monte Carlo simulation and a direct coupling ap-proach combining the deterministic finite elements code and First Order Reliability Method (FORM) algorithm. These methods are presented considering the spatial variation of soil strength parameters and Young modulus. The random field is used to describe the spatial variation. Also, the reliability analysis is conducted using a performance function formulat-ed in terms of the stochastic stress mobilized along the sliding surface. The present study shows that the perturbation method and SSFEM can be considered as practical methods to conduct a second moment analysis of the slope stability taking into account the spatial variability of soil properties since good results are obtained with acceptable estimated rela-tive errors. Finally, the perturbation method is performed to delimit the location of the critical probabilistic sliding surfac-es and to evaluate the effect of the correlation length of soil strength parameters on the safety factor. In addition, the two methods are used to estimate the probability density and the cumulative distribution function of the factor of safety.
This paper deals with the slope stability problem by a finite element reliability analysis considering the spatial variation of soil strength parameters. In this work, the spatial variation is described using random field theory. To simplify the implementation of the proposed procedure for slope reliability analysis, elastic perfectly plastic constitutive model describing the soil behaviour using the Mohr coulomb yield criterion is adopted. The application of the proposed approach for the slope reliability analysis is performed using a performance function expressed in terms of stress fields mobilised along a circular failure surface. For this purpose, a computation of the stress gradient based on the incremental theory of plasticity is used. The results of the proposed procedure are checked by a probabilistic method based on the combination of the Bishop's model and the Monte Carlo simulation. The numerical examples have elucidated the efficiency and the validity of the present procedure to slope reliability analysis. Finally, the proposed procedure is applied for locating critical probabilistic circular sliding surface considering the spatial variation of the shear strength parameters.
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