The current practice of determining histologic grade with a single molecular biomarker can facilitate differential diagnosis but cannot predict the risk of lesion progression. Cancer is caused by complex mechanisms, and no single biomarker can both make accurate diagnoses and predict progression risk. Modelling using multiple biomarkers can be used to derive scores for risk prediction. Mathematical models (MMs) may be capable of making predictions from biomarker data. Therefore, this study aimed to develop MM–based scores for predicting the risk of precancerous cervical lesion progression and identifying precancerous lesions in patients in northern Thailand by evaluating the expression of multiple biomarkers. The MMs (Models 1–5) were developed in the test sample set based on patient age range (five categories) and biomarker levels (cortactin, p16INK4A, and Ki–67 by immunohistochemistry [IHC], and HPV E6/E7 ribonucleic acid (RNA) by in situ hybridization [ISH]). The risk scores for the prediction of cervical lesion progression (“risk biomolecules”) ranged from 2.56–2.60 in the normal and low–grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL) cases and from 3.54–3.62 in cases where precancerous lesions were predicted to progress. In Model 4, 23/86 (26.7%) normal and LSIL cases had biomolecule levels that suggested a risk of progression, while 5/86 (5.8%) cases were identified as precancerous lesions. Additionally, histologic grading with a single molecular biomarker did not identify 23 cases with risk, preventing close patient monitoring. These results suggest that biomarker level–based risk scores are useful for predicting the risk of cervical lesion progression and identifying precancerous lesion development. This multiple biomarker–based strategy may ultimately have utility for predicting cancer progression in other contexts.
We propose antenatal blood tests using high-resolution DNA melting (HRM) analysis for beta thalassemia mutation detection after hemoglobin A2 estimation as a modified strategy for the identification of beta thalassemia at-risk couples. Antenatal blood samples of 1,115 couples were transferred from the antenatal care clinic. Hemoglobin A2 was quantified, and proportions ≥3.5% were further assessed for beta thalassemia mutation using HRM analysis. Twelve types of beta thalassemia mutations, including hemoglobin E, were identified. There were 23 couples who were detected as at-risk. All at-risk couples were identified within 7 working days after sample receipt. Prenatal diagnosis revealed 6 affected fetuses. One fetus was homozygous CD17 (AT), and five fetuses exhibited beta0 – thalassemia/hemoglobin E disease. These results were consistent with the outcomes calculated using the Hardy-Weinberg equation. Antenatal blood tests for mutation detection using high-resolution DNA melting analysis after hemoglobin A2 estimation is a feasible laboratory method for the recruitment of couples with a fetus that is at risk for beta thalassemia. This modified strategy is cost-effective and may be beneficial for use in a beta thalassemia prevention program.
We propose a fast-track strategy [direct blood DNA analysis using a quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) technique] for the early risk detection and prenatal diagnosis of a(0)-thalassemia (SEA and Thai deletion). Blood DNA samples were obtained from a volunteer group of 1235 ANC couples. They were assessed using quantitative real-time PCR to detect carriers of a(0)-thalassemia (SEA and Thai deletion). At-risk couples were identified, and further prenatal diagnosis by amniocentesis was implemented. Fetal DNA was isolated from the amniotic cells and characterized by quantitative real-time PCR to detect the a(0)-thalassemia mutation, which was reconfirmed using the droplet digital PCR method. Fifteen at-risk couples were identified. The timing of prenatal diagnosis was appropriate for all couples and four of the fetuses were diagnosed with Bart's hydrops fetalis. The results were compatible with those calculated using the Hardy-Weinberg equation for a recessively inherited single gene disorder. The conclusion was that the fast-track strategy could shorten screening policy timelines, promoting early risk detection for couples and early prenatal diagnosis. The fast-track strategy might be beneficial for the prevention of hemoglobin Bart's hydrops fetalis syndrome.
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