Almost half of this population had previously undetected low BMD, including 7% with osteoporosis. Peripheral BMD results were highly predictive of fracture risk. Given the economic and social costs of osteoporotic fractures, strategies to identify and manage osteoporosis in the primary care setting need to be established and implemented.
Based on engineering principles, geometric measurements of femoral size should be related to femoral strength and the risk for hip fracture. To evaluate whether a simple measurement of femoral geometry is associated with hip fracture risk, we obtained dual x-ray absorptiometry scans of the proximal femur on 8074 white women age 67 or older. During an average of 1.6 years of follow-up, 64 participants suffered hip fractures. In all fracture cases and in a random sample of 134 women who did not subsequently suffer a hip fracture, we measured hip axis length (the distance from greater trochanter to inner pelvic brim), neck width, and the neck/shaft angle on the scan printout, with the observer blinded to subsequent fracture status of the participant. Results were analyzed using multiple logistic models, and odds ratios were determined. After adjustment for age, each standard deviation decrease in femoral neck bone mineral density increased hip fracture risk 2.7-fold (95% confidence interval 1.7, 4.3), and each standard deviation increase in hip axis length nearly doubled the risk of hip fracture (odds ratio = 1.8; 95% CI 1.3, 2.5). The relationship between hip axis length and fracture risk persisted even after adjustment for age, femoral neck density, height, and weight. A longer hip axis length was associated with an increased risk of both femoral neck (OR = 1.9; 95% CI 1.3, 3.0) and trochanteric fractures (1.6; 1.0, 2.4). We found no significant association between the neck width (1.1; 0.8, 1.5) or the neck/shaft angle (1.4; 0.9, 2.2) and risk of hip fracture.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
Low bone mineral density (BMD) is a risk factor for fracture. Although the current "gold standard" test is DXA of the hip and spine, this method is not universally available. No large studies have evaluated the ability of new, less expensive peripheral technologies to predict fracture. We studied the association between BMD measurements at peripheral sites and subsequent fracture risk at the hip, wrist/forearm, spine, and rib in 149,524 postmenopausal white women, without prior diagnosis of osteoporosis. At enrollment, each participant completed a risk assessment questionnaire and had BMD testing at the heel, forearm, or finger. Main outcomes were new fractures of the hip, wrist/forearm, spine, or rib within the first 12 months after testing. After 1 year, 2259 women reported 2340 new fractures. Based on manufacturers' normative data and multivariable adjusted analyses, women who had T scores < ؊2.5 SD were 2.15 (finger) to 3.94 (heel ultrasound [US]) times more likely to fracture than women with normal BMD. All measurement sites/devices predicted fracture equally well, and risk prediction was similar whether calculated from the manufacturers' young normal values (T scores) or using SDs from the mean age of the National Osteoporosis Risk Assessment (NORA) population. The areas under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for hip fracture were comparable with those published using measurements at hip sites. We conclude that low BMD found by peripheral technologies, regardless of the site measured, is associated with at least a twofold increased risk of fracture within 1 year, even at skeletal sites other than the one measured.
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