Background We previously showed that participants in the population-based Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort with elevated levels of blood biomarkers of inflammation or cardiac disease were at increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Objective We hypothesized that ARIC participants with larger 6-year increases in the levels of three biomarkers - C-reactive protein (CRP), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and troponin T - would also have an increased subsequent risk of VTE. Methods We measured changes in the levels of these biomarkers in 9844 participants from 1990-1992 to 1996-1998, and then identified VTEs through 2015. Results A greater 6-year rise in the level of NT-proBNP, but not in that of CRP or troponin T, was significantly associated with increased VTE incidence over a median of 17.6 years of follow-up. After adjustment for other VTE risk factors, those whose NT-proBNP level rose from < 100 pg mL to ≥ 100 pg mL had a hazard ratio for VTE of 1.44 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.15-1.80), as compared with the reference group with an NT-proBNP level of < 100 pg mL at both times. This hazard ratio was slightly higher (1.66, 95% CI 1.19-2.31) during the first 10 years of follow-up, but was attenuated (1.24, 95% CI 0.99-1.56) after adjustment for prevalent and incident coronary heart disease, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation. Conclusions The two most likely explanations for our results are that: (i) an increasing NT-proBNP level reflects increasing subclinical volume overload and potentially increased venous stasis or subclinical PE that had gone unrecognized over time; or (ii) an increasing NT-proBNP level is a risk marker for impending cardiac disease that places patients at risk of VTE.
Objective:
Leukocytes contribute to the development of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). We evaluated whether associations of differential leukocyte counts with AAA persist after accounting for traditional risk factors of AAA.
Approach and Results:
Among 11 217 adults from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, we evaluated associations of differential leukocyte counts at baseline (1987–1989) with incident AAAs over a median follow-up of 22.5 years, using Cox proportional hazards regression. Each differential leukocyte count was categorized into 5 groups—below normal, tertiles within the normal range, and above normal, with the first tertile serving as the referent. We identified 377 incident AAAs through 2011, using hospital discharge diagnoses, linked Medicare records, or death certificates. At baseline, higher neutrophil, monocyte, and eosinophil counts were associated with higher risk of AAA, independent of smoking, other differential leukocyte counts, and other traditional risk factors. The association with incident AAA was the strongest for above normal neutrophil count, with an adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) of 2.17 (1.29–3.64). Below normal neutrophil, lymphocyte, eosinophil and basophil counts were associated with higher risk of AAA with adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) between 1.86 (1.04–3.35) and 1.62 (1.10–2.39).
Conclusions:
Higher neutrophil, monocyte, and eosinophil counts in midlife are associated with higher risk of AAA, even after accounting for traditional risk factors such as smoking, obesity, and atherosclerosis. This suggests the need to identify nontraditional risk factors and treatment strategies to mitigate the residual risk of AAA conferred by midlife inflammation. Whether immunosuppression is associated with higher risk of AAA needs further investigation.
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