[1] As an indicator of atmospheric evaporating capability over a hypothetical reference surface, reference evapotranspiration (ET 0 ) is the most important hydrological and meteorological variable to reflect climate change. This is particularly true for the Yellow River Basin, which faces serious water shortages and is vulnerable to climate change. In this study, the ET 0 at 80 sites during 1957-2008 in the Yellow River Basin was calculated using the Penman-Monteith method with the calibrated Angstrom coefficients. Spatial and seasonal patterns of changes in ET 0 as well as the concerned climatic variables are specially focused on using advanced statistical tests and GIS method. The entire Yellow River Basin is characterized by complicated spatial variability in the change of ET 0 . Significant negative trends are mainly distributed in the southeast corner, northern side, and midwest of the Yellow River Basin, while significant increases of ET 0 mainly occur in the middle part and southwest corner of the basin. Still, no coherent spatial patterns in ET 0 trends are seen in any season. The dominance of warming trends in temperature and decreasing trends in wind speed and sunshine duration can be found in the basin. Relative humidity presents insignificant or weak trends at many sites but with a mixed spatial structure of positive and negative trends at both annual and seasonal scales. The combined effects of climatic variables to ET 0 changes and their spatial and seasonal variability are revealed by further analysis of sensitivity of ET 0 to climatic variables and the contribution of climatic variables to ET 0 changes over six homogenous regions identified by a rotated empirical orthogonal function (REOF) clustering method on annual and seasonal scales. The decline of surface wind speed offsets the increasing effect of the temperature increase and is mainly responsible for the ET 0 reduction in the west and north of the Loess Plateau. The reduced sunshine duration is the leading factor for ET 0 decrease in the middle-lower Yellow River Plain, especially during the summer time. The increasing mean temperature plays the most important role in the ET 0 increase in the source area of the Yellow River Basin. Furthermore, regional actual evapotranspiration and ET 0 present complementary behavior, but does not accurately fall in the 1:1 complementary relationship of the Bouchet's hypothesis, especially for the high elevation subregions. In addition, although precipitation changes are the main driving factors for drought variation, increasing ET 0 intensified the drought in middle regions.
In recent years, various virtual screening (VS) tools have been developed, and many successful screening campaigns have been showcased. However, whether by conventional molecular docking or pharmacophore screening, the selection of virtual hits is based on the ranking of compounds by scoring functions or fit values, which remains the bottleneck of VS due to insufficient accuracy. As the limitations of individual methods persist, a comprehensive comparison and integration of different methods may provide insights into selecting suitable methods for VS. Here, we evaluated the performance of molecular docking, fingerprint-based 2D similarity and multicomplex pharmacophore in an individual and a combined manner, through a retrospective VS study on VEGFR-2 inhibitors. An integrated two-layer workflow was developed and validated through VS of VEGFR-2 inhibitors against the DUD-E database, which demonstrated improved VS performance through a ligand-based method ECFP_4, followed by molecular docking, and then a strict multicomplex pharmacophore. Through a retrospective comparison with six published papers, this integrated approach outperformed 43 out of 45 methods, indicating a great effectiveness. This kind of integrated VS approach can be extended to other targets for the screening and discovery of inhibitors.
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