Angular measurements are often modeled as circular random variables, where there are natural circular analogues of moments, including correlation. Because a product of circles is a torus, a d-dimensional vector of circular random variables lies on a d-dimensional torus. For such vectors we present here a class of graphical models, which we call torus graphs, based on the full exponential family with pairwise interactions. The topological distinction between a torus and Euclidean space has several important consequences.Our development was motivated by the problem of identifying phase coupling among oscillatory signals recorded from multiple electrodes in the brain: oscillatory phases across electrodes might tend to advance or recede together, indicating coordination across brain areas. The data analyzed here consisted of 24 phase angles measured repeatedly across 840 experimental trials (replications) during a memory task, where the electrodes were in 4 distinct brain regions, all known to be active while memories are being stored or retrieved. In realistic numerical simulations, we found that a standard pairwise assessment, known as phase locking value, is unable to describe multivariate phase interactions, but that torus graphs can accurately identify conditional associations. Torus graphs generalize several more restrictive approaches that have appeared in various scientific literatures, and produced intuitive results in the data we analyzed. Torus graphs thus unify multivariate analysis of circular data and present fertile territory for future research.
Multiple oscillating time series are typically analyzed in the frequency domain, where coherence is usually said to represent the magnitude of the correlation between two signals at a particular frequency. The correlation being referenced is complex‐valued and is similar to the real‐valued Pearson correlation in some ways but not others. We discuss the dependence among oscillating series in the context of the multivariate complex normal distribution, which plays a role for vectors of complex random variables analogous to the usual multivariate normal distribution for vectors of real‐valued random variables. We emphasize special cases that are valuable for the neural data we are interested in and provide new variations on existing results. We then introduce a complex latent variable model for narrowly band‐pass‐filtered signals at some frequency, and show that the resulting maximum likelihood estimate produces a latent coherence that is equivalent to the magnitude of the complex canonical correlation at the given frequency. We also derive an equivalence between partial coherence and the magnitude of complex partial correlation, at a given frequency. Our theoretical framework leads to interpretable results for an interesting multivariate dataset from the Allen Institute for Brain Science.
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