The use of statins was associated with a 47 percent relative reduction in the risk of colorectal cancer after adjustment for other known risk factors. Because the absolute risk reduction is likely low, further investigation of the overall benefits of statins in preventing colorectal cancer is warranted.
Identification of microsatellite unstable (MSI-H) colorectal cancers (CRC) is important not only for the identification of hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal cancer syndrome (HNPCC) but also because MSI-H CRCs have a better prognosis and may respond differently to 5 flourouracil based chemotherapy. We present two nearly equivalent logistic regression models for clinical use that predict microsatellite instability based on the review of 1649 CRCs from patients of all ages collected in a population-based case control study in northern Israel.
198 of these 1649 tumors demonstrated a high degree of microsatellite instability (12%). Multivariate analysis found that >2 TIL cells per high-power field, the lack of dirty necrosis, the presence of a Crohn’s-like reaction, right-sided location, any mucinous differentiation (mucinous or focally mucinous) and well or poor differentiation, and age less than 50 were all independent predictors of MSI-H. We developed two logistic regression models that differ only by the statistical approach used to analyze the number of TIL cells per high-powered field, where the slightly more accurate (and complex) model uses the log of the total number of TIL cells. The simpler clinical model uses a cutoff of 2>TIL cells per high-powered field. The accuracy of both models is high, with an 85.4% vs. 85.0% probability of correctly classifying tumors as MSI-H. By employing the simpler model, pathologists can predict the likelihood of microsatellite instability by compiling the MSI probability score (see Table 4 and figure 1) from simple histologic and clinical data available during sign-out.
Our model shows that approximately 43% of CRCs have a MSI probability score of 1 or less and hence have little likelihood (<3%) of being MSI-H. While this model is not perfect in predicting microsatellite instability, its use could improve the efficiency of expensive diagnostic testing.
The Study to Explore Early Development (SEED), a multisite investigation addressing knowledge gaps in autism phenotype and etiology, aims to: (1) characterize the autism behavioral phenotype and associated developmental, medical, and behavioral conditions and (2) investigate genetic and environmental risks with emphasis on immunologic, hormonal, gastrointestinal, and sociodemographic characteristics. SEED uses a case–control design with population-based ascertainment of children aged 2–5 years with an autism spectrum disorder (ASD) and children in two control groups—one from the general population and one with non-ASD developmental problems. Data from parent-completed questionnaires, interviews, clinical evaluations, biospecimen sampling, and medical record abstraction focus on the prenatal and early postnatal periods. SEED is a valuable resource for testing hypotheses regarding ASD characteristics and causes.
The phenotypic markers of colorectal carcinomas with microsatellite instability have been widely studied and include mucinous or poor differentiation, prominent host response, a circumscribed growth pattern, histologic heterogeneity, and right-sided location. As part of a population-based case-control study of colorectal cancer in northern Israel, we reviewed the pathology and microsatellite status of 528 consecutively diagnosed colorectal cancers. Phenotypic analysis was performed by one pathologist (J.K.G.) and included assessment of grade, mucinous histology (>50%, or focal), histologic heterogeneity, growth pattern, necrosis, and host response. Microsatellite status was determined on microdissected portions of formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tissue using a panel of 5 NCI consensus primers. Fifty-two of 528 colorectal carcinomas were microsatellite unstable (9.85%). Multivariate analysis found that >2 tumor infiltrating lymphocytes per high power field (p <0.0001), the lack of dirty necrosis (p = 0.0054), a Crohn's-like host response (p = 0.0064), right-sided location (p = 0.032), well or poor differentiation (p = 0.037), and any mucinous differentiation (p = 0.039) were independent predictors of microsatellite instability. Tumor infiltrating lymphocytes were the single best histologic predictor of microsatellite instability. The absence of dirty necrosis and the presence of well-differentiated tumors and tumors with only focal mucinous differentiation were also important markers for microsatellite instability that have not been emphasized previously. The combination of >2 tumor infiltrating lymphocytes per high power field and/or any mucinous differentiation and/or the absence of dirty necrosis identified all MSI-H tumors in this study.
Hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal cancer (HNPCC) is caused by mutations in the mismatch-repair genes. We report here the identification and characterization of a founder mutation in MSH2 in the Ashkenazi Jewish population. We identified a nucleotide substitution, MSH2*1906G-->C, which results in a substitution of proline for alanine at codon 636 in the MSH2 protein. This allele was identified in 15 unrelated Ashkenazi Jewish families with HNPCC, most of which meet the Amsterdam criteria. Genotype analysis of 18 polymorphic loci within and flanking MSH2 suggested a single origin for the mutation. All colorectal cancers tested showed microsatellite instability and absence of MSH2 protein, by immunohistochemical analysis. In an analysis of a population-based incident series of 686 Ashkenazi Jews from Israel who have colorectal cancer, we identified 3 (0.44%) mutation carriers. Persons with a family history of colorectal or endometrial cancer were more likely to carry the mutation than were those without such a family history (P=.042), and those with colorectal cancer who carried the mutation were, on average, younger than affected individuals who did not carry it (P=.033). The mutation was not detected in either 566 unaffected Ashkenazi Jews from Israel or 1,022 control individuals from New York. In hospital-based series, the 1906C allele was identified in 5/463 Ashkenazi Jews with colorectal cancer, in 2/197 with endometrial cancer, and in 0/83 with ovarian cancer. When families identified by family history and in case series are included, 25 apparently unrelated Ashkenazi Jewish families have been found to harbor this mutation. Although this pathogenic mutation is not frequent in the Ashkenazi Jewish population (accounting for 2%-3% of colorectal cancer in those whose age at diagnosis is <60 years), it is highly penetrant and accounts for approximately one-third of HNPCC in Ashkenazi Jewish families that fulfill the Amsterdam criteria.
Chromosome 8q24 harbors oncogenes known to be involved in pathogenesis of colorectal cancer (CRC) as well as uncharacterized genetic variants that have recently been shown to influence inherited risk of prostate cancer. In a population-based casecontrol study of colorectal cancer in northern Israel, we investigated the association between variation in 8q24 and risk of CRC. Among 1,861 incident cases and 1,937 populationbased controls matched on age, gender, ethnicity, and clinic, rs10505477 was associated with risk of CRC in a dominant model, with an odds ratio = 1.23, 95% confidence interval = 1.05-1.43, (p = 0.008). This association was independently validated in an analysis of cancer among relatives of carriers of the risk allele, with a hazard ratio of 3.2 (95% bootstrap CI = 1. 16-17.8). Genetic variation at rs10505477 on 8q24 potentially accounts for 14% of CRC in this population and should be replicated in other studies.
ABBREVIATIonSOR, odds ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; CRC, colorectal cancer
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