Background Early Kinetics of SARS‐CoV‐2 viral load (VL) in plasma determined by quantitative RT‐PCR was evaluated as a predictor of poor clinical outcome in a prospective study and assessed in a retrospective validation cohort. Methods Prospective observational single‐centre study including consecutive adult patients hospitalised with COVID‐19 between November 2020 and January 2021. Serial plasma samples were obtained until discharge. Quantitative RT‐PCR was performed to assess SARS‐CoV‐2 VL. The main outcomes were in‐hospital mortality, admission to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) and their combination (Poor Outcome). Relevant Viremia (RV), established in the prospective study, was assessed in a retrospective cohort including hospitalised COVID‐19 patients from April 2021‐May 2022, in which plasma samples were collected according to clinical criteria. Results Prospective cohort: 57 patients were included. RV was defined as at least a two‐fold increase in VL within ≤2 days or a VL>300 copies/mL, in the first week. Patients with RV (N=14; 24.6%) were more likely to die than those without RV (35.7% vs 0%), needed ICU admission (57% vs 0%) or had Poor Outcome (71.4% vs 0%), (p<0.001 for the three variables) Retrospective cohort: 326 patients were included, 18.7% presented RV. Patients with RV compared with patients without RV had higher rates of ICU‐admission [OR 5.6 (95%CI,2.1‐15.1); p=0.001], mortality [OR 13.5 (95%CI,6.3‐28.7); p<0.0001] and Poor Outcome [OR 11.2 (95%CI,5.8‐22); p<0.0001] Conclusion Relevant SARS‐CoV‐2 viremia in the first week of hospitalisation was associated with higher in‐hospital mortality, ICU admission, and Poor Outcome. Findings observed in the prospective cohort were confirmed in a larger validation cohort. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

BackgroundLate prognosis of Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) patients is related to cardiovascular events. Persistence of inflammation-related markers, defined by high circulatory levels of interleukin 6 and 10 (IL-6/IL-10), is associated with a higher post-event mortality rate for CAP patients. However, association between these markers and other components of the immune response, and the risk of cardiovascular events, has not been adequately explored. The main objectives of this study are: 1) to quantify the incidence of cardiovascular disease, in the year post-dating their hospital admittance due to CAP and, 2) to describe the distribution patterns of a wide spectrum of inflammatory markers upon admittance to and release from hospital, and to determine their relationship with the incidence of cardiovascular disease.Methods/designA cohort prospective study. All patients diagnosed and hospitalized with CAP will be candidates for inclusion. The study will take place in the Universitary Hospital La Princesa, Spain, during two years. Two samples of blood will be taken from each patient: the first upon admittance and the second one prior to release, in order to analyse various immune agents. The main determinants are: pro-adrenomedullin, copeptin, IL-1, IL-6, TNF-α, IL-17, IFN-γ, IL-10 and TGF-β, E-Selectin, ICAM-1, VCAM-1 and subpopulations of peripheral T lymphocytes (T regulator, Th1 and Th17), together with other clinical and analytical variables. Follow up will start at admittance and finish a year after discharge, registering incidence of death and cardiovascular events. The main objective is to establish the predictive power of different inflammatory markers in the prognosis of CAP, in the short and long term, and their relationship with cardiovascular disease.DiscussionThe level of some inflammatory markers (IL-6/IL-10) has been proposed as a means to differentiate the degree of severity of CAP, but their association with cardiovascular risk is not well established. In this study we aim to define new inflammatory markers associated with cardiovascular disease that could be helpful for the prognosis of CAP patients, by describing the distribution of a wide spectrum of inflammatory mediators and analyzing their association with the incidence of cardiovascular disease and mortality one year after release from hospital.

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