A novel tracking paradigm for flying geometric trajectories using tethered kites is presented. It is shown how the differential-geometric notion of turning angle can be used as a one-dimensional representation of the kite trajectory, and how this leads to a single-input single-output (SISO) tracking problem. Based on this principle a Lyapunov-based nonlinear adaptive controller is developed that only needs control derivatives of the kite aerodynamic model. The resulting controller is validated using simulations with a point-mass kite model.
Decisions on long‐lived flood risk management (FRM) investments are complex because the future is uncertain. Flexibility and robustness can be used to deal with future uncertainty. Real options analysis (ROA) provides a welfare‐economics framework to design and evaluate robust and flexible FRM strategies under risk or uncertainty. Although its potential benefits are large, ROA is hardly used in todays' FRM practice. In this paper, we investigate benefits and limitations of a ROA, by applying it to a realistic FRM case study for an entire river branch. We illustrate how ROA identifies optimal short‐term investments and values future options. We develop robust dike investment strategies and value the flexibility offered by additional room for the river measures. We benchmark the results of ROA against those of a standard cost‐benefit analysis and show ROA's potential policy implications. The ROA for a realistic case requires a high level of geographical detail, a large ensemble of scenarios, and the inclusion of stakeholders' preferences. We found several limitations of applying the ROA. It is complex. In particular, relevant sources of uncertainty need to be recognized, quantified, integrated, and discretized in scenarios, requiring subjective choices and expert judgment. Decision trees have to be generated and stakeholders' preferences have to be translated into decision rules. On basis of this study, we give general recommendations to use high discharge scenarios for the design of measures with high fixed costs and few alternatives. Lower scenarios may be used when alternatives offer future flexibility.
This study presents convex modeling of drainage pumps so that real‐time control systems can be implemented to minimize their energy use. A convex model is built based on pump curves and then used in mixed‐integer optimization to allow pumps to be turned on or off. It is implemented as an extension to the open source software package RTC‐Tools. The formulation is such that the continuous relaxations of the mixed‐integer problem are convex, hence branch‐and‐bound techniques may be used to find a global optimum. The formulation can be used for variable‐speed and constant‐speed pumps. There are several possible applications, such as optimization of polder systems, pumped‐storage systems, or certain water distribution networks. Finally, an example of the drainage pump is presented to compare the method to current methods and show that energy can be saved by using the proposed method.
Many applications in water management rely on keeping the water levels of an open water channel within given bounds, e.g. irrigation canals, drainage systems, and hydropower systems. These are all open water channels where the water level is influenced by several known and unknown factors like precipitation, operation of structures, etc.
Water levels can be efficiently controlled by model predictive control (MPC). In MPC the optimization algorithms give advice at every time step based on the current state of the system as well as on the expected future state. These algorithms need a model to predict the response of the system to the control inputs. In most cases, the need to guarantee convexity of the optimization problem leads to the requirement that these models should be linear. To date, several such linear models are available in literature, which are suited for control purposes. However, the choice between these models is not straightforward. In this work, we extend a categorization of open channels, based on which the choice of a simple model can be advised.
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