The disease caused by the new coronavirus (COVID-19) has been plaguing the world for months and the number of cases are growing more rapidly as the days go by. Therefore, finding a way to identify who has the causative virus is impressive, in order to find a way to stop its proliferation. In this paper, a complete and applied study of convolutional support machines will be presented to classify patients infected with COVID-19 using X-ray data and comparing them with traditional convolutional neural network (CNN). Based on the fitted models, it was possible to observe that the convolutional support vector machine with the polynomial kernel (CSVMPol) has a better predictive performance. In addition to the results obtained based on real images, the behavior of the models studied was observed through simulated images, where it was possible to observe the advantages of support vector machine (SVM) models.
A proper understanding and analysis of suitable models involved in forecasting currency exchange rates dynamics is essential to provide reliable information about the economy. This paper deals with model fit and model forecasting of eight time series of historical data about currency exchange rate considering the United States dollar as reference. The time series techniques: classical autoregressive integrated moving average model, the non-parametric univariate and multivariate singular spectrum analysis (SSA), artificial neural network (ANN) algorithms, and a recent prominent hybrid method that combines SSA and ANN, are considered and their performance compared in terms of model fit and model forecasting. Moreover, specific methodological and computational adaptations were conducted to allow for these analyses and comparisons.
Singular spectrum analysis (SSA) is a non-parametric method that breaks down a time series into a set of components that can be interpreted and grouped as trend, periodicity, and noise, emphasizing the separability of the underlying components and separate periodicities that occur at different time scales. The original time series can be recovered by summing all components. However, only the components associated to the signal should be considered for the reconstruction of the noise-free time series and to conduct forecasts. When the time series data has the presence of outliers, SSA and other classic parametric and non-parametric methods might result in misleading conclusions and robust methodologies should be used. In this paper we consider the use of two robust SSA algorithms for model fit and one for model forecasting. The classic SSA model, the robust SSA alternatives, and the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model are compared in terms of computational time and accuracy for model fit and model forecast, using a simulation example and time series data from the quotas and returns of six mutual investment funds. When outliers are present in the data, the simulation study shows that the robust SSA algorithms outperform the classical ARIMA and SSA models.
The development of a country involves directly investing in the education of its citizens. Learning analytics/educational data mining (LA/EDM) allows access to big observational structured/unstructured data captured from educational settings and relies mostly on machine learning algorithms to extract useful information. Support vector regression (SVR) is a supervised statistical learning approach that allows modelling and predicts the performance tendency of students to direct strategic plans for the development of high-quality education. In Brazil, performance can be evaluated at the national level using the average grades of a student on their National High School Exams (ENEMs) based on their socioeconomic information and school records. In this paper, we focus on increasing the computational efficiency of SVR applied to ENEM for online requisitions. The results are based on an analysis of a massive data set composed of more than five million observations, and they also indicate computational learning time savings of more than 90%, as well as providing a prediction of performance that is compatible with traditional modeling.
The analysis of currency exchange rates is of great importance to analyze the economic health of a country. In this paper, we collect and analyze the historical data on exchange rates of all available currencies, considering the US dollar as reference. In particular, we are interested in clustering the collected daily time series by using a similarity measure based on dynamic time warping. In total, the observations of 150 currencies, between January 3, 2005 and April 30, 2020, are analyzed. The results show that the use of dynamic time warping as a distance measure results in the improvement of the interpretability of the dendrograms, when compared with standard similarity measures such as the Euclidean distance.
1312 Figure 1 Number of daily hospitalizations, by ICD-10 chapter, in children under 1 year of age, between 2016 and 2021, in Brazil.Abstract 1312 Figure 2 Hospitalizations for respiratory diseases in infants, in Brazil, between 2016-2021 and deaths resulting from these hospitalizations Conclusion From the collected data we were able to conclude that the pandemic period presented a decrease in hospitalizations and an inversely proportional increase in deaths. This reduction was directly proportional between the groups included in each analyzed variable, these being 'age group', 'sex' and 'color/race'; further studies are needed on mortality from respiratory diseases, whether COVID-19 or others. Nonetheless, it is also necessary to analyze hospitalizations for COVID-19 and other ICDs that may be associated with it.
Learning methods in survival analysis have the ability to handle censored observations. The Cox model is a predictive prevalent statistical technique for survival analysis, but its use rests on the strong assumption of hazard proportionality, which can be challenging to verify, particularly when working with non-linearity and high-dimensional data. Therefore, it may be necessary to consider a more flexible and generalizable approach, such as support vector machines. This paper aims to propose a new method, namely wavelet support vector censored regression, and compare the Cox model with traditional support vector regression and traditional support vector regression for censored data models, survival models based on support vector machines. In addition, to evaluate the effectiveness of different kernel functions in the support vector censored regression approach to survival data, we conducted a series of simulations with varying number of observations and ratios of censored data. Based on the simulation results, we found that the wavelet support vector censored regression outperformed the other methods in terms of the C-index. The evaluation was performed on simulations, survival benchmarking datasets and in a biomedical real application.
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