Larger size increased the risk of rupture also in the Japanese (Unruptured Cerebral Aneurysm Study [UCAS]) and Finnish natural history studies. 5,7 Observational studies, however, demonstrate that a significant portion of those sIAs that ruptured did so Background and Purpose-Size and shape of saccular intracranial aneurysms (sIA) reflect the condition of the sIA wall and were risk factors for rupture in previous follow-up studies. We investigated how well size or shape identify ruptureprone sIAs. Methods-In a population-based registry, we investigated the characteristics of ruptured sIAs treated in a single neurosurgical center . In addition to univariate analysis, logistic regression was used in multivariate analysis, and sensitivity and specificity of size or shape were calculated using receiver operating characteristic curves. Results-Ruptured sIAs were on average larger than unruptured sIAs (median, 7 versus 4 mm; P<0.000), but location and patient background affected the size at rupture. Of the ruptured sIAs, 38% were smaller than 7 mm and 18% were smaller than 4 mm. Of those sIAs that had ruptured at a small (<7 mm) size, 87% had an irregular shape. In multivariate analysis, irregular shape had the strongest association with presentation as ruptured sIA (odds ratio, 7.1; 95% confidence interval, 6.0-8.3), with better sensitivity (91%) and specificity (76%), in contrast to smoking (odds ratio, 0.7; 95% confidence interval, 0.6-0.9; sensitivity, 28%; specificity 57%) and Population, Hypertension, Age, Size of sIA, Earlier SAH from another sIA, Site of sIA score (odds ratio, 1.5; 95% confidence interval, 1.4-1.6). Conclusions-Irregular

Irregular shape may identify the ruptured sIA better than size in patients presenting with aSAH and multiple sIAs.

Background and Purpose— Formation of new (de novo) aneurysms in patients carrying saccular intracranial aneurysm (sIA) disease has been published, but data from population-based cohorts are scarce. Methods— Kuopio sIA database ( http://www.uef.fi/ns ) contains all unruptured and ruptured sIA patients admitted to Kuopio University Hospital from its Eastern Finnish catchment population. We studied the incidence and risk factors for de novo sIA formation in 1419 sIA patients with ≥5 years of angiographic follow-up, a total follow-up of 18 526 patient-years. Results— There were 42 patients with a total of 56 de novo sIAs, diagnosed in a median of 11.7 years after the first sIA diagnosis. The cumulative incidence of de novo sIAs was 0.23% per patient-year and that of subarachnoid hemorrhage from a ruptured de novo sIA 0.05% per patient-year. The risk of de novo sIA discovery per patient-year increased with younger age at the first sIA diagnosis: 2.2% in the patients aged <20 years and 0.46% in the patients aged between 20 and 39 years. In Cox regression analysis, smoking history and younger age at the first sIA diagnosis significantly associated with de novo sIA formation, but female sex, multiple sIAs, and sIA family did not. Conclusions— Patients aged < 40 years at the first sIA diagnosis are in a significant risk of developing de novo sIAs, and they should be scheduled for long-term angiographic follow-up. Smoking increases the risk of de novo sIA formation, suggesting long-term follow-up for smokers. Antismoking efforts are highly recommended for sIA patients.