The development of predictive maps for geothermal resources is fundamental for its exploration across Nigeria. In this study, spatial exploration data consisting of geology, geophysics and remote sensing was initially analysed using the Shannon entropy method to ascertain a correlation to known geothermal manifestation. The application of statistical index, frequency ratio and weight of evidence modelling was then used for integrating every predictive data for the generation of geothermal favourability maps. The receiver operating/area under curve (ROC/AUC) analysis was then employed to ascertain the prediction accuracy for all models. Basically, all spatial data displayed a significant statistical correlation with geothermal occurrence. The integration of these data suggests a high probability for geothermal manifestation within the central part of the study location. Accuracy assessment for all models using the ROC/AUC analysis suggests a high prediction capability (above 75%) for all models. Highest prediction accuracy was obtained from the frequency ratio (83.3%) followed by the statistical index model (81.3%) then the weight of evidence model (79.6%). Evidence from spatial and predictive analysis suggests geological data integration is highly efficient for geothermal exploration across the middle Benue trough.
Geological data integration and spatial analysis for structural elucidation are more assertive approaches for reconnaissance scale mineral exploration. In this study, several methods involving Fry analysis, distance correlation analysis, prediction area plots as well as knowledge driven predictive models including TOPSIS, ARAS and MOORA were systematically employed for unravelling the spatial geological attributes related to gold mineralisation. Additionally, statistical validation of knowledge driven predictive models were implemented using the Receiver Operating Characteristic/Area Under Curve analysis (ROC/AUC). The evidence from Fry and distance correlation analysis suggests that gold occurrence within parts of the Malumfashi schist belt of Nigeria is defined by a strong spatial association with the ENE-WSW as well as the NNE-SSW trending structures. The prediction area plot also revealed a robust spatial correlation between mineral occurrence and spatial data related to geological structures. The application of knowledge driven predictive models suggest a high favourability for gold occurrence within the southern, central, and north-eastern parts of the study location, while statistical validation using the ROC/AUC curves suggest a high prediction accuracy greater than 70% for all models. The geospatial analysis for mineral exploration within the Malumfashi area has unveiled an invaluable geological criterion for gold targeting with a considerable level of certainty.
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