Urban congestion has become a global problem with urbanization and motorization. The analysis of time-varying traffic congestion patterns is necessary to formulate effective management strategies. The existing studies have focused on traffic flow patterns developed by the volume, speed and density of road sections in a limited district, while the long-time analysis of congestion patterns of the macro road network at the city level is inadequate. This paper aims to recognize traffic congestion patterns of the urban road network based on the traffic performance index (TPI) of 699 days in 2018, 2019 and 2021 in Beijing. The self-organizing maps (SOM) method improved by an automatic clustering number determination algorithm is proposed to cluster congestion patterns based on time-varying TPI. The traffic congestion of the macro road network is clustered into Mondays, Fridays, ordinary weekdays, congested weekdays, weekdays of winter and summer vacation, Saturdays, Sundays and festivals patterns. Patterns of Mondays and congested weekdays have a prominent morning peak, while patterns of Fridays, ordinary weekdays, and weekdays of winter and summer vacation have a prominent evening peak. Saturdays, Sundays and festivals are less congested than weekday patterns. It is verified that the SOM method proposed in this paper clusters traffic congestion into more detailed and accurate patterns, and it is applicable to TPI clustering in different years. The degree of congestion in 2021 increases by 7.15% in peak hours and decreases by 7.50% in off-peak hours compared with that in 2019 due to COVID-19. This method is helpful for traffic management in terms of making decisions according to different congestion patterns.
Vehicle emissions seriously affect the air environment and public health. The dynamic estimation method of vehicle emissions changing over time on the road network has always been the bottleneck of air quality simulation. The dynamic traffic volume is one of the important parameters to estimate vehicle emission, which is difficult to obtain effectively. A novel estimation method of whole sample traffic volumes and emissions on the entire road network based on multifactor Macroscopic Fundamental Diagram (MFD) is proposed in this paper. First, the intelligent clustering and recognition methods of traffic flow patterns are constructed based on neural network and deep-learning algorithms. Then, multifactor MFD models are developed considering different road types, traffic flow patterns and weekday peak hours. Finally, the high spatiotemporal resolution estimation method of whole sample traffic volumes and emissions are constructed based on MFD models. The results show that traffic flow patterns are clustered efficiently by the Self-Organizing Maps (SOM) algorithm combined with the direct time-varying speed index, which describe 91.7% traffic flow states of urban roads. The Deep Belief Network (DBN) algorithm precisely recognizes 92.1% of the traffic patterns based on the speeds of peak hours. Multifactor MFD models estimate the whole sample traffic volumes with a high accuracy of 91.6%. The case study shows that the vehicle emissions are evaluated dynamically based on the novel estimation method proposed in this paper, which is conducive to the coordinated treatment of air pollution.
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