Nonmethane volatile organic compounds (NMVOCs) result in ozone and aerosol production that adversely affects the environment and human health. For modeling purposes, anthropogenic NMVOC emissions have been typically compiled using the “bottom-up” approach. To minimize uncertainties of the bottom-up emission inventory, “top-down” NMVOC emissions can be estimated using formaldehyde (HCHO) observations. In this study, HCHO vertical column densities (VCDs) obtained from the Geostationary Trace gas and Aerosol Sensor Optimization spectrometer during the Korea–United States Air Quality campaign were used to constrain anthropogenic volatile organic compound (AVOC) emissions in South Korea. Estimated top-down AVOC emissions differed from those of the up-to-date bottom-up inventory over major anthropogenic source regions by factors of 1.0 ± 0.4 to 6.9 ± 3.9. Our evaluation using a 3D chemical transport model indicates that simulated HCHO mixing ratios using the top-down estimates were in better agreement with observations onboard the DC-8 aircraft during the campaign relative to those with the bottom-up emission, showing a decrease in model bias from –25% to –13%. The top-down analysis used in this study, however, has some limitations related to the use of HCHO yields, background HCHO columns, and AVOC speciation in the bottom-up inventory, resulting in uncertainties in the AVOC emission estimates. Our attempt to constrain diurnal variations of the AVOC emissions using the aircraft HCHO VCDs was compromised by infrequent aircraft observations over the same source regions. These limitations can be overcome with geostationary satellite observations by providing hourly HCHO VCDs.
Secondary organic aerosols (SOA) are formed from oxidation of hundreds of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) emitted from anthropogenic and natural sources. Accurate predictions of this chemistry are key for air quality and climate studies due to the large contribution of organic aerosols to submicron aerosol mass. Currently, only explicit models, such as the Generator for Explicit Chemistry and Kinetics of Organics in the Atmosphere (GECKO‐A), can fully represent the chemical processing of thousands of organic species. However, their extreme computational cost prohibits their use in current chemistry‐climate models, which rely on simplified empirical parameterizations to predict SOA concentrations. This study demonstrates that machine learning can accurately emulate SOA formation from an explicit chemistry model with an approximate error of 2%–8%, up to five days for several precursors and for potentially up to one month for recurrent neural network models, and with 100 to 100,000 times speedup over GECKO‐A, making it computationally useable in a chemistry‐climate model. We generated the training data using thousands of GECKO‐A box simulations sampled from a broad range of initial environmental conditions, and focused on three representative SOA precursors: the oxidation by OH of two anthropogenic (toluene, dodecane), and the oxidation by O3 of one biogenic VOC (α‐pinene). We compare several neural models and quantify their underlying uncertainty and robustness. These are promising results, suggesting that neural network models could be applied to predict SOA in chemistry‐climate models, limited however to the range of environmental conditions that were considered in the training datasets.
We aim to reduce uncertainties in CH2O and other volatile organic carbon (VOC) emissions through assimilation of remote sensing data. We first update a three‐dimensional (3D) chemical transport model, GEOS‐Chem with the KORUSv5 anthropogenic emission inventory and inclusion of chemistry for aromatics and C2H4, leading to modest improvements in simulation of CH2O (normalized mean bias (NMB): −0.57 to −0.51) and O3 (NMB: −0.25 to −0.19) compared against DC‐8 aircraft measurements during KORUS‐AQ; the mixing ratio of most VOC species are still underestimated. We next constrain VOC emissions using CH2O observations from two satellites (OMI and OMPS) and the DC‐8 aircraft during KORUS‐AQ. To utilize data from multiple platforms in a consistent manner, we develop a two‐step Hybrid Iterative Finite Difference Mass Balance and four‐dimensional variational inversion system (Hybrid IFDMB‐4DVar). The total VOC emissions throughout the domain increase by 47%. The a posteriori simulation reduces the low biases of simulated CH2O (NMB: −0.51 to −0.15), O3 (NMB: −0.19 to −0.06), and VOCs. Alterations to the VOC speciation from the 4D‐Var inversion include increases of biogenic isoprene emissions in Korea and anthropogenic emissions in Eastern China. We find that the IFDMB method alone is adequate for reducing the low biases of VOCs in general; however, 4D‐Var provides additional refinement of high‐resolution emissions and their speciation. Defining reasonable emission errors and choosing optimal regularization parameters are crucial parts of the inversion system. Our new hybrid inversion framework can be applied for future air quality campaigns, maximizing the value of integrating measurements from current and upcoming geostationary satellite instruments.
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