The passenger demand of urban rail transit (URT) lines often present asymmetric tidal time-varying characteristics. To match the demand fluctuation, the train operational plan (TOP) generally has asymmetric bi-directional frequency/headway setting and imbalanced circulation, leading to high operation cost. This paper incorporates circulation balance into TOP optimization to balance the bi-directional arrival, departure, circulation, and resource utilization, and reduce the overall operation cost. Based on time-varying section demand and predetermined service level, bi-directional stepped maximum headway functions are collaboratively constructed, and then the circulation process is described by the trip flow circulation network that is formulated as a cost-oriented integer linear programming model. Using the optimized frequency setting, the final TOP is obtained by a two-stage approach to successively solve the schedule and rolling stock circulations at terminals. The case study based on an URT line in Shenzhen indicates that the proposed approach can not only ensure the required service level for travel demand, but also improve the efficiency of circulation and utilization, and effectively reduce the overall operation cost. The proposed approach provides an effective technique to keep balanced, stable and sustainable operation for URT lines.
In order to improve the prediction accuracy of railway passenger traffic, an ARIMA model and FSVR are combined to propose a hybrid prediction method. The ARIMA prediction model is established based on the known railway passenger traffic data, and then, the ARIMA prediction results are used as the training set of the FSVR method. At the same time, the air price and historical passenger traffic data are introduced to predict the future passenger traffic, to realize the mixed prediction of railway passenger traffic. The case study demonstrates that the hybrid prediction method can effectively improve the prediction performance of railway passenger traffic. Compared with the single ARIMA method, the hybrid prediction method improves the delay of the prediction results. Compared with the FSVR prediction result, the hybrid prediction method greatly reduces the errors in the extreme points of passenger traffic and long-term prediction. The relevant research results of this paper provide a useful reference for the prediction of railway passenger traffic.
At the peak of passenger flow, some passengers extend travel sections, which will be likely to lead to overcrowding of high-speed railway (HSR) trains. Therefore, the problem of train overcrowding control needs to be considered in ticket allocation. Firstly, by simulating the passenger demand function and utility function, an optimization model of ticket allocation for multiple trains and multiple stops with the goal of maximizing revenue is constructed. Secondly, the concepts of the travel extension coefficient and risk coefficient are introduced, the number of passengers is estimated under the risk coefficient as the probability, and the total number of passengers on the train arriving at any station is obtained. Thus, preventing the number of passengers on the train from exceeding the train capacity is introduced to the ticket allocation optimization model of multiple trains and multiple stops as a constraint. Finally, this model is solved by the particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO). The research results show that the idea of controlling passenger numbers so as not to exceed train capacity based on ticket allocation proposed in this paper has strong practical feasibility. By reasonably and accurately allocating the tickets to the departure terminal section and long-distance terminal sections, it can ensure that, even if there are some passengers extending their travel section, the train will not be overcrowded under a certain probability, improving the train safety and passenger travel experiences.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
hi@scite.ai
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
Copyright © 2024 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 💙 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.