Engineering applications of the fractional Weibull distribution (fWd) are quite limited because a corresponding stochastic process is not yet constituted and completely analyzed of fundamental properties. In order to fill this gap, the fractional Weibull process (fWp) is defined in this paper with the realization algorithm. The self-similarity property as well as long range dependence (LRD) are proven for the future research. The simulation is conducted by the actual data. The fWd is utilized to fit the actual probability distribution and the corresponding process is generated to reflect the stochasticity of the data. The random walk based on the fWp expands the simulation to the planar space.
In this paper, an adaptive remaining useful life prediction model is proposed for electric vehicle lithium batteries. Capacity degradation of the electric car lithium batteries is modeled by the multi-fractal Weibull motion. The varying degree of long-range dependence and the 1/f characteristics in the frequency domain are also analyzed. The age and state-dependent degradation model is derived, with the associated adaptive drift and diffusion coefficients. The adaptive mechanism considers the quantitative relations between the drift and diffusion coefficients. The unit-to-unit variability is considered a random variable. To facilitate the application, the convergence of the RUL prediction model is proved. Replacement of the lithium battery in the electric car is recommended according to the remaining useful life prediction results. The effectiveness of the proposed model is shown in the case study.
Tool wear will reduce workpieces’ quality and accuracy. In this paper, the vibration signals of the milling process were analyzed, and it was found that historical fluctuations still have an impact on the existing state. First of all, the linear fractional alpha-stable motion (LFSM) was investigated, along with a differential iterative model with it as the noise term is constructed according to the fractional-order Ito formula; the general solution of this model is derived by semimartingale approximation. After that, for the chaotic features of the vibration signal, the time-frequency domain characteristics were extracted using principal component analysis (PCA), and the relationship between the variation of the generalized Hurst exponent and tool wear was established using multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MDFA). Then, the maximum prediction length was obtained by the maximum Lyapunov exponent (MLE), which allows for analysis of the vibration signal. Finally, tool condition diagnosis was carried out by the evolving connectionist system (ECoS). The results show that the LFSM iterative model with semimartingale approximation combined with PCA and MDFA are effective for the prediction of vibration trends and tool condition. Further, the monitoring of tool condition using ECoS is also effective.
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