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Background Low serum levels of the anti-inflammatory club cell secretory protein (CC16) have been associated with an accelerated FEV1 decline in COPD. Whether low circulating CC16 precedes lung function deficits and incidence of COPD in the general population is unknown. Methods We used longitudinal data from adults who were COPD-free at baseline from the population-based TESAOD (N=960, mean follow-up: 14yrs), ECRHS-Sp (N=514, 11yrs) and SAPALDIA (N=167, 8yrs) studies. CC16 was measured in serum from baseline and associated with subsequent FEV1 decline and incidence of airflow limitation. To evaluate early life CC16 effects, we also measured circulating CC16 in samples from ages 4-6yrs to predict subsequent lung function in childhood in the CRS (N=427), MAAS (N=481), and BAMSE (N=231) birth cohorts. Findings In adults – after adjustment for sex, age, height, smoking status/intensity, pack-years, asthma, and initial FEV1 levels – baseline CC16 was inversely associated with subsequent decline of FEV1 in TESAOD (p=0.0014), ECRHS-Sp (p=0.023), and a similar trend was found in SAPALDIA (p=0.052). Low CC16 at baseline also predicted an increased risk for incident stage 2 airflow limitation (i.e., FEV1/FVC<70% plus FEV1 % predicted < 80%) in TESAOD and ECRHS-Sp. In children, the lowest tertile of CC16 at age 4–6yrs was associated with subsequent FEV1 deficits up to age 16yrs (meta-analyzed estimate from adjusted models on birth cohorts: −68ml, p=0.0001). Results were confirmed among subjects who never smoked by age 16yrs (−71ml, p<0.0001). Interpretation Low serum CC16 is associated with subsequent slower growth and accelerated decline of lung function, and increased risk of developing stage 2 airflow limitation. Funding US National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute and EU Seventh Framework Programme. For a complete list of other funding agencies, please refer to the acknowledgements section of the paper.

ObjectiveWe assessed associations between physical activity and lung function, and its decline, in the prospective population-based European Community Respiratory Health Survey cohort.MethodsFEV1 and FVC were measured in 3912 participants at 27–57 years and 39–67 years (mean time between examinations=11.1 years). Physical activity frequency and duration were assessed using questionnaires and used to identify active individuals (physical activity ≥2 times and ≥1 hour per week) at each examination. Adjusted mixed linear regression models assessed associations of regular physical activity with FEV1 and FVC.ResultsPhysical activity frequency and duration increased over the study period. In adjusted models, active individuals at the first examination had higher FEV1 (43.6 mL (95% CI 12.0 to 75.1)) and FVC (53.9 mL (95% CI 17.8 to 89.9)) at both examinations than their non-active counterparts. These associations appeared restricted to current smokers. In the whole population, FEV1 and FVC were higher among those who changed from inactive to active during the follow-up (38.0 mL (95% CI 15.8 to 60.3) and 54.2 mL (95% CI 25.1 to 83.3), respectively) and who were consistently active, compared with those consistently non-active. No associations were found for lung function decline.ConclusionLeisure-time vigorous physical activity was associated with higher FEV1 and FVC over a 10-year period among current smokers, but not with FEV1 and FVC decline.