SummaryWe have produced maps of Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission in West and Central Africa using the Mapping Malaria Risk in Africa (MARA) database comprising all malaria prevalence surveys in these regions that could be geolocated. The 1846 malaria surveys analysed were carried out during different seasons, and were reported using different age groupings of the human population. To allow comparison between these, we used the Garki malaria transmission model to convert the malaria prevalence data at each of the 976 locations sampled to a single estimate of transmission intensity E, making use of a seasonality model based on Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), temperature and rainfall data. We fitted a Bayesian geostatistical model to E using further environmental covariates and applied Bayesian kriging to obtain smooth maps of E and hence of age-specific prevalence. The product is the first detailed empirical map of variations in malaria transmission intensity that includes Central Africa. It has been validated by expert opinion and in general confirms known patterns of malaria transmission, providing a baseline against which interventions such as insecticidetreated nets programmes and trends in drug resistance can be evaluated. There is considerable geographical variation in the precision of the model estimates and, in some parts of West Africa, the predictions differ substantially from those of other risk maps. The consequent uncertainties indicate zones where further survey data are needed most urgently. Malaria risk maps based on compilations of heterogeneous survey data are highly sensitive to the analytical methodology.keywords entomological inoculation rate, kriging, malaria, markov chain monte carlo, parasite prevalence, vectorial capacity
The importance of small reservoirs during droughts for the local population in most semi-arid environments cannot be over estimated. Water stored in these reservoirs allow for all-year-round irrigated agriculture for some farmers and ensures that there is little or no domestic and drinking water shortages for the local population during dry periods. In order to manage the water effectively for competing uses, the actual storage of these reservoirs need to be accurately estimated. Recent attempts to delineate these reservoirs using remote sensing with Landsat imagery have been quite successful especially in the Upper East region of Ghana, West Africa. This was done to determine the number; spatial distribution and storage volumes of reservoirs for effective water management and reservoir planning. However, the accuracy of the lateral delineation of these reservoirs needs further studies since it is paramount for its monitoring especially for purposes such as forecasting of crop failure in the dry seasons.This thesis explains how radar images (ENVISAT-ASAR) can be used to provide all year-round monitoring. Radar has the important advantage that it is independent of cloud cover hence can be used in the rainy season. It can also be used to acquire both day and night time images. This study shows how a monthly regional inventory of storage in small reservoirs can be obtained. The study area is the Upper East Region of Ghana, West Africa. In comparing ground data with ENVISAT data, it becomes clear that reeds, which often can be found in the shallow tail-ends of reservoirs, can not be readily distinguished from the surrounding vegetation.
To examine the impact of small reservoir irrigation development in Africa, the performance and productivity of two small reservoirs and irrigation schemes in the Upper East Region of Ghana were investigated in this study. Hydrologic data measured included daily irrigation volumes and daily evaporation. Farmer cost inputs, excluding labor, and harvest data were also recorded. There was a strong contrast in water availability between the two systems, the Tanga system having a higher amount of available water than did the Weega system. The concept of relative water supply was used to confirm this disparity; Tanga was an inefficient system with a relative water supply of 5.7, compared to a value of 2.4 for the efficient Weega system. It was also concluded that the dissimilar water availabilities resulted in the evolution of very different irrigation methods and coincided with different management structures. Where there was more water available per unit land (Tanga), management was relaxed and the irrigation inefficient. Where there was less water available per unit land (Weega), management was well structured and irrigation efficient. The productivity of water (US$ m À3 ) of the Tanga system was half that of the Weega system, when analyzed at a high market price for crops grown. In terms of productivity of cultivated land (US$ ha À1 ), however, the Tanga system was 49% more productive than the Weega system. The difference in the productivity of land is primarily a result of increased farmer cash inputs in the Tanga system as compared to the Weega system. The difference in the productivity of water can be attributed to the varying irrigation methods and management structures, and ultimately to the contrasting water availability. Tanga avait un système inefficace avec un taux d'approvisionnement relatif en eau de 5.7 comparé à un taux de 2.4 du système efficace de Weega. Il a été conclu que les différences au niveau de la disponibilité d'eau sont à la base d'une évolution de méthodes et s'accordent avec de concepts de gestion d'irrigation très contrastés. Quand il y avait plus d'eau disponible par unité de surface (Tanga), la gestion était peu organisée et l'irrigation moins efficace. Par contre, quand les ressources en eau étaient limitées (Weega) la gestion était bien structurée et l'irrigation très efficace. En termes d'eau les agriculteurs de Tanga recevaient seulement la moitié du bénéfice économique des agriculteurs de Weega quand le prix du marché était élevé pour les produits récoltés. Par contre, en termes de surface cultivée, les agriculteurs de Tanga faisaient 49% plus de profit par rapport aux agriculteurs de Weega. La différence du bénéfice économique de la terre cultivé est principalement une conséquence des investissements élevés des agriculteurs dans le système de Tanga comparé au système de Weega. La différence du bénéfice économique de l'eau peut être attribuée aux variations des méthodes d'irrigation et des structures de gestion et donc finalement aux disponibilités en eau très contrastées.
Abstract. In the Volta Basin, infrastructure watershed development with respect to the impact of climate conditions is hotly debated due to the lack of adequate tools to model the consequences of such development. There is an ongoing debate on the impact of further development of small and medium scale reservoirs on the water level of Lake Volta, which is essential for hydropower generation at the Akosombo power plant. The GLOWA Volta Project (GVP) has developed a Volta Basin Water Allocation System (VB-WAS), a decision support tool that allows assessing the impact of infrastructure development in the basin on the availability of current and future water resources, given the current or future climate conditions. The simulated historic and future discharge time series of the joint climate-hydrological modeling approach (MM5/WaSiM-ETH) serve as input data for a river basin management model (MIKE BASIN). MIKE BASIN uses a network approach, and allows fast simulations of water allocation and of the consequences of different development scenarios on the available water resources. The impact of the expansion of small and medium scale reservoirs on the stored volume of Lake Volta has been quantified and assessed in comparison with the impact of climate variability on the water resources of the basin.
[1] In the semiarid regions of Africa, there are many small reservoirs used for irrigation. This study explores the practicality of using small reservoirs as runoff gauges by estimating their water storage changes using remote sensing imagery. A simple rainfall-runoff model is developed by observing the surface area and estimating the volume of eight small reservoirs in the Upper East Region of Ghana and in Togo using Envisat advanced synthetic aperture radar satellite images. The model is based on the Thornthwaite-Mather procedure and the assumption that with increasing precipitation, the contributing watershed area increases exponentially. The model parameters were estimated using the 2005 data and were validated using 2006 data. Although the total rainfall amounts were comparable in these 2 years, the rainfall and reservoir filling patterns were quite different. The model results indicate that the overall impact of the reservoirs largely depends on the ratios of reservoir to watershed areas. For this 2 year study, the reservoirs captured on average 34% of quick flow and 15% of overall runoff.
Assessing and managing water resources in developing and dryland regions is still fraught with difficulties. The typical tool chain of water resources management starts with the collection of data, subsequently processes and analyses the collected information within the natural and socio-economic setting, and finally generates end products that inform decision-making. However, several of these steps often turn out to be problematic when faced with development issues and severe strains on water resources.Many of these regions are characterised by very complex hydrological systems that often exhibit extreme behaviour, such as strong monsoon seasons or extended drought. Commonly used models and analysis techniques may not represent these processes, or at best they are seldom tested for adequacy and robustness. The complexity of the water cycle contrasts strongly with the poor data availability, which limits the number of analysis techniques and methods available to researchers. Finally, technical solutions should take into account the socio-economic setting in which they will be embedded, and address the need for capacity development to ensure that newly introduced technologies and solutions improve the regional skills in water resources management.This special issue aims to highlight the diversity and complexity of the issues faced in a context of development and resources scarcity. It brings together a collection of papers that Water Resour Manage (2012) 26:841-844
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