Among patients with unstable angina or myocardial infarction without ST-segment elevation, prasugrel did not significantly reduce the frequency of the primary end point, as compared with clopidogrel, and similar risks of bleeding were observed. (Funded by Eli Lilly and Daiichi Sankyo; TRILOGY ACS ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00699998.).
Aims Heart failure is characterized by recurrent hospitalizations, but often only the first event is considered in clinical trial reports. In chronic diseases, such as heart failure, analysing all events gives a more complete picture of treatment benefit. We describe methods of analysing repeat hospitalizations, and illustrate their value in one major trial. Methods and results The Candesartan in Heart failure Assessment of Reduction in Mortality and morbidity (CHARM)‐Preserved study compared candesartan with placebo in 3023 patients with heart failure and preserved systolic function. The heart failure hospitalization rates were 12.5 and 8.9 per 100 patient‐years in the placebo and candesartan groups, respectively. The repeat hospitalizations were analysed using the Andersen–Gill, Poisson, and negative binomial methods. Death was incorporated into analyses by treating it as an additional event. The win ratio method and a method that jointly models hospitalizations and mortality were also considered. Using repeat events gave larger treatment benefits than time to first event analysis. The negative binomial method for the composite of recurrent heart failure hospitalizations and cardiovascular death gave a rate ratio of 0.75 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.62–0.91, P = 0.003], whereas the hazard ratio for time to first heart failure hospitalization or cardiovascular death was 0.86 (95% CI 0.74–1.00, P = 0.050). Conclusions In patients with preserved EF, candesartan reduces the rate of admissions for worsening heart failure, to a greater extent than apparent from analysing only first hospitalizations. Recurrent events should be routinely incorporated into the analysis of future clinical trials in heart failure.
Echocardiography plays an essential role in the diagnosis and assessment of cardiovascular disease. Measurements derived from echocardiography are also used to determine the severity of disease, its progression over time, and to aid in the choice of optimal therapy. It is therefore clinically important that echocardiographic measurements be reproducible, repeatable, and reliable. There are a variety of statistical tests available to assess these parameters, and in this article the authors summarize those available for use by echocardiographers to improve their clinical practice. Correlation coefficients, linear regression, Bland-Altman plots, and the coefficient of variation are explored, along with their limitations. The authors also provide an online tool for the easy calculation of these statistics in the clinical environment (www.birmingham.ac.uk/echo). Quantifying and enhancing the reproducibility of echocardiography has important potential to improve the value of echocardiography as the basis for good clinical decision-making.
Background-Eplerenone is known to reduce time to first hospitalization for heart failure or cardiovascular death in patients with heart failure and mild symptoms. In chronic diseases such as heart failure, characterized by repeat hospitalizations, analyzing all heart failure hospitalizations, not just the first, should give a more complete picture of treatment benefits. Methods and Results-The Eplerenone in Mild Patients Hospitalization and SurvIval Study in Heart Failure (EMPHASIS-HF) trial compared eplerenone with placebo in 2737 patients with mild heart failure, followed for a median 2.08 years (interquartile range, 1.08 -3.10 years). Data were collected on all hospitalizations, with a focus on those due to heart failure. Heart failure hospitalization rates in the eplerenone and placebo groups were 10.70 and 16.99 per 100 patient-years, respectively. Allowing for skewness in the frequency of hospitalizations by using the negative binomial generalized linear model, the rate ratio (eplerenone versus placebo) was 0.53 (95% confidence interval, 0.42-0.66; PϽ0.0001). A plot of cumulative hospitalization rates over time revealed that most of the reduced risk on eplerenone occurred in the first year of follow-up. Several baseline variables strongly predicted the risk of hospitalization. More complex statistical methods, adjusting for mortality (as informative censoring), made a negligible difference in these findings. Conclusions-Eplerenone markedly reduces the risk of heart failure hospitalizations in patients with heart failure and mild symptoms to a greater extent than is captured by only studying the time to first hospitalization. Future clinical trials in heart failure would gain from incorporating repeat hospitalizations into their primary evaluation of treatment effects. Clinical Trial Registration-URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00232180.
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