Abstract. Output from 6 months of high-resolution simulations with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model are analyzed to characterize local low-level jets (LLJs) over Iowa for winter and spring in the contemporary climate. Low-level jets affect rotor plane aerodynamic loading, turbine structural loading and turbine performance, and thus accurate characterization and identification are pertinent. Analyses using a detection algorithm wherein the wind speed above and below the jet maximum must be below 80 % of the jet wind speed within a vertical window of approximately 20–530 m a.g.l. (above ground level) indicate the presence of an LLJ in at least one of the 14 700 4 km×4 km grid cells over Iowa on 98 % of nights. Nocturnal LLJs are most frequently associated with stable stratification and low turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) and hence are more frequent during the winter months. The spatiotemporal mean LLJ maximum (jet core) wind speed is 9.55 m s−1, and the mean height is 182 m. Locations of high LLJ frequency and duration across the state are seasonally varying, with a mean duration of 3.5 h. The highest frequency occurs in the topographically complex northwest of the state in winter and in the flatter northeast of the state in spring. Sensitivity of LLJ characteristics to the (i) LLJ definition and (ii) vertical resolution at which the WRF output is sampled is examined. LLJ definitions commonly used in the literature are considered in the first sensitivity analysis. These sensitivity analyses indicate that LLJ characteristics are highly variable with definition. Use of different definitions identifies both different frequencies of LLJs and different LLJ events. Further, when the model output is down-sampled to lower vertical resolution, the mean jet core wind speed height decreases, but spatial distributions of regions of high frequency and duration are conserved. Implementation of a polynomial interpolation to extrapolate down-sampled output to full-resolution results in reduced sensitivity of LLJ characteristics to down-sampling.
We present a proof of concept of wind turbine wake identification and characterization using a region-based convolutional neural network (CNN) applied to lidar arc scan images taken at a wind farm in complex terrain. We show that the CNN successfully identifies and characterizes wakes in scans with varying resolutions and geometries, and can capture wake characteristics in spatially heterogeneous fields resulting from data quality control procedures and complex background flow fields. The geometry, spatial extent and locations of wakes and wake fragments exhibit close accord with results from visual inspection. The model exhibits a 95% success rate in identifying wakes when they are present in scans and characterizing their shape. To test model robustness to varying image quality, we reduced the scan density to half the original resolution through down-sampling range gates. This causes a reduction in skill, yet 92% of wakes are still successfully identified. When grouping scans by meteorological conditions and utilizing the CNN for wake characterization under full and half resolution, wake characteristics are consistent with a priori expectations for wake behavior in different inflow and stability conditions.
Continued growth of wind turbine physical dimensions is examined in terms of the implications for wind speed, power and shear across the rotor plane. High-resolution simulations with the Weather Research and Forecasting model are used to generate statistics of wind speed profiles for scenarios of current and future wind turbines. The nine-month simulations, focused on the eastern Central Plains, show that the power scales broadly as expected with the increase in rotor diameter (D) and wind speeds at hub-height (H). Increasing wind turbine dimensions from current values (approximately H = 100 m, D = 100 m) to those of the new International Energy Agency reference wind turbine (H = 150 m, D = 240 m), the power across the rotor plane increases 7.1 times. The mean domain-wide wind shear exponent (α) decreases from 0.21 (H = 100 m, D = 100 m) to 0.19 for the largest wind turbine scenario considered (H = 168 m, D = 248 m) and the frequency of extreme positive shear (α > 0.2) declines from 48% to 38% of 10-min periods. Thus, deployment of larger wind turbines potentially yields considerable net benefits for both the wind resource and reductions in fatigue loading related to vertical shear.
Two years of high-resolution simulations conducted with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model are used to characterize the frequency, intensity and height of low-level jets (LLJ) over the U.S. Atlantic coastal zone. Meteorological conditions and the occurrence and characteristics of LLJs are described for (i) the centroids of thirteen of the sixteen active offshore wind energy lease areas off the U.S. east coast and (ii) along two transects extending east from the U.S. coastline across the northern lease areas (LA). Flow close to the nominal hub-height of wind turbines is predominantly northwesterly and southwesterly and exhibits pronounced seasonality, with highest wind speeds in November, and lowest wind speeds in June. LLJs diagnosed using vertical profiles of modeled wind speeds from approximately 20 to 530 m above sea level exhibit highest frequency in LA south of Massachusetts, where LLJs are identified in up to 12% of hours in June. LLJs are considerably less frequent further south along the U.S. east coast and outside of the summer season. LLJs frequently occur at heights that intersect the wind turbine rotor plane, and at wind speeds within typical wind turbine operating ranges. LLJs are most frequent, intense and have lowest core heights under strong horizontal temperature gradients and lower planetary boundary layer heights.
Abstract. Output from high resolution simulations with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model are analyzed to characterize local low level jets (LLJ) over Iowa. Analyses using a detection algorithm wherein the wind speed above and below the jet maximum must be below 80 % of the jet wind speed within a vertical window of approximately 20 m–530 m a.g.l. indicate the presence of a LLJ in at least one of the 14700 4 km by 4 km grid cells over Iowa on 98 % of nights. Nocturnal LLJ are most frequently associated with stable stratification and low TKE and hence are more frequent during the winter months. The spatiotemporal mean LLJ maximum (jet core) wind speed is 9.55 ms−1 and the mean height is 182 m. Locations of high LLJ frequency and duration across the state are seasonally varying with a mean duration of 3.5 hours. LLJ are most frequent in the topographically complex northwest of the state in winter, and in the flatter northeast of the state in spring. Sensitivity of LLJ characteristics to the: i) LLJ definition and ii) vertical resolution at which the WRF output is sampled are examined. LLJ definitions commonly used in LLJ literature are considered in the first sensitivity analysis. These sensitivity analyses indicate that LLJ characteristics are highly variable with LLJ definition. Further, when the model output is down-sampled to lower vertical resolution, the maximum LLJ wind speed and mean height decrease, but spatial distributions of regions of high frequency and duration are conserved.
Wind turbine blade leading edge erosion is a major source of power production loss and early detection benefits optimization of repair strategies. Two machine learning (ML) models are developed and evaluated for automated quantification of the areal extent, morphology and nature (deep, shallow) of damage from field images. The supervised ML model employs convolutional neural networks (CNN) and learns features (specific types of damage) present in an annotated set of training images. The unsupervised approach aggregates pixel intensity thresholding with calculation of pixel-by-pixel shadow ratio (PTS) to independently identify features within images. The models are developed and tested using a dataset of 140 field images. The images sample across a range of blade orientation, aspect ratio, lighting and resolution. Each model (CNN v PTS) is applied to quantify the percent area of the visible blade that is damaged and classifies the damage into deep or shallow using only the images as input. Both models successfully identify approximately 65% of total damage area in the independent images, and both perform better at quantifying deep damage. The CNN is more successful at identifying shallow damage and exhibits better performance when applied to the images after they are preprocessed to a common blade orientation.
High-resolution simulations with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model are analyzed to characterize the frequency, intensity, height, and duration of springtime low-level jets (LLJ) and their implications for wind energy resource assessment and planning in Iowa. The time evolution of short-duration LLJ is analyzed to understand wind behavior around LLJ events and to illustrate their importance for high-frequency (few hours) variability in wind speeds and rotor plane turbulent kinetic energy (TKE). During spring, the LLJ core height has a spatiotemporal mean value of 217 m, but the LLJ depth means it frequently intersects typical wind turbine rotor planes. Nearly one-quarter of LLJ exhibit a maximum within the height interval 50-150 m AGL. LLJ profiles are found to have higher mean wind speeds across typical wind turbine rotor planes than non-LLJ profiles and to exhibit lower values of TKE. LLJ occur under stable stratification (i.e. positive Richardson numbers) and are associated with low TKE and the occurrence of high vertical wind shear. The frequency and duration of LLJ exhibit geospatial variability across Iowa with highest values in the northeast of the state. Analyses of daytime and night-time LLJ indicate topographic variability is an important factor in the development of LLJ.
A prescribed-wake vortex model for evaluating the aerodynamic loads on offshore floating turbines has been developed. As an extension to the existing UMass analysis tool, WInDS, the developed model uses prescribed empirical wake node velocity functions to model aerodynamic loading. This model is applicable to both dynamic flow conditions and dynamic rotational and translational platform motions of floating offshore turbines. With this model, motion-induced wake perturbations can be considered, and their effect on induction can be modeled, which is useful for floating offshore wind turbine design. The prescribed-wake WInDS model is shown to increase computational efficiency drastically in all presented cases and maintain comparable accuracy to the free wake model. Results of prescribed-wake model simulations are presented and compared to results obtained from the free wake model to confirm model validity.
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