The risk of serious dipyridamole-induced side effects is very low and is comparable to that reported for exercise testing in a similar patient population.
Patients with peripheral vascular disease have a high prevalence of coronary artery disease and are at increased risk for cardiac morbidity and death after vascular reconstruction. The present study was undertaken to assess the value of 18 clinical parameters, of 7 clinical scoring systems, and of quantitative dipyridamole-thallium imaging for predicting the occurrence of postoperative myocardial infarction or cardiac death. Vascular surgery was performed in 125 patients. Thirteen postoperative cardiac events occurred, including 10 cardiac deaths and 3 nonfatal infarctions. Clinical parameters were not useful in predicting postoperative outcome. All 63 patients with normal scan results or fixed perfusion defects underwent surgery uneventfully, whereas 21% (13/62) of patients with reversible defects had a postoperative cardiac complication. By use of quantitative scintigraphic indexes we found that patients with reversible defects could be stratified into intermediate and high-risk subgroups with postoperative event rates of 5% (2/47) and 85% (11/13), respectively, despite intensive postoperative monitoring and antianginal medication. Thus in patients unable to complete a standard exercise stress test, postoperative outcome cannot be predicted clinically, whereas dipyridamole-thallium imaging successfully identified all patients who had a postoperative cardiac event. By use of quantification we found that patients with reversible defects can be stratified into an intermediate risk subgroup that can undergo surgery with minimal complication rate and a high-risk subgroup that requires coronary angiography.
A total of 360 patients underwent preoperative cardiac risk assessment using 23 clinical parameters, seven multivariate clinical scoring systems, and quantitative dipyridamole-thallium imaging to predict postoperative and long-term myocardial infarction and cardiac death after noncardiac surgery. There were 30 postoperative and an additional 13 cumulative long-term cardiac events after an average follow-up of 15 months. Clinical descriptors were not useful in predicting the outcome of individual patients. The postoperative and long-term cardiac event rates were 1% and 3.5%, respectively, in patients with normal scans or fixed perfusion defects, and 17.5% and 22% in patients with reversible defects. Using quantitative indices reflecting the amount of jeopardized myocardium, patients could be stratified by dipyridamole imaging into multiple scintigraphic subsets, with corresponding postoperative and 1-year coronary morbidity and mortality rates ranging from 0.5% to 100% (p = 0.0001). Thus, postoperative and long-term cardiac events cannot be predicted clinically, whereas quantitative dipyridamole imaging accurately identifies high-risk patients who require preoperative coronary angiography.
Summary:The traditional approach to developing models predictive of cardiac events has been to pertorm logistic regression (LR) analysis on a variety of potential predictors. An altemative is to use an artificial intelligence system called a neural network (NN) which simulates biological intelligence. To evaluate the potential applicability of the latter method, we compared the ability of LR and NN techniques to predict cardiac events after noncardiac surgery. A total of 200 patients (hairing p u p ) underwent cardiac risk assessment before major noncardiac surgery using 17 clinical parameters and 7 quantitative indices based on dipyndamole-thallium imaging. There were 21 postoperative myocardial infarctions andor cardiac deaths. Data from the training group were used to develop two predictive models: one based on backward stepwise LR multivariate statistical analysis and the other one using a neural network. Both models were then validated on a second group of 160 consecutive patients also referred for preoperative risk stratification (validation group). The NN consisted of 14 input, 29 hidden, and I output neurons and used a back-propagation algorithm (leaming rate 0.2, training tolerance 0.5, sigmoid transfer function). The sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive accuracies for the prediction of postoperative events in the vali- dation group of 160 patients were, respectively, 67%) (6/9), 82% (1 24/15 I), 18% (6/33), and 98% ( I24/127) for LR, and 67% (6/9),96%(145/151),50% (6/12),and98%(145/148)forthe NN, with a difference in specificity which attained statistical significance (p < 0.01 ). AmfciaJ intelligence may provide a useful alternative to conventional LR statistical analysis for the purpose of preoperative cardiac risk assessment.
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Although the diagnostic utility of thallium-201 myocardial imaging after dipyridamole infusion is well established, the intravenous form of the drug is not yet commercially available in North America. Fifty patients referred for coronary angiography were prospectively studied. Within a 2 week period, each patient underwent cardiac catheterization and thallium-201 myocardial imaging after both oral and intravenous dipyridamole administration. For the oral protocol, patients were randomly assigned to treatment with either 200 or 400 mg of dipyridamole in tablet form. Coronary artery stenoses of 70% or greater were considered significant. For the 25 patients who received a 200 mg oral dose of dipyridamole, the scintigraphic study showed perfusion defects in 65% of patients with significant coronary artery disease after the oral dose and in 85% of patients after the intravenous dose. For the 25 patients who received a 400 mg oral dose, the sensitivity of the scintigram was 84% after the oral dose and 79% after the intravenous dose. Except for headache and nausea, side effects were less severe and less frequent with oral (either 200 or 400 mg) than with intravenous dipyridamole. Because of the delayed and variable absorption of dipyridamole tablets, the oral studies required a longer period of medical supervision (45 to 60 minutes), and aminophylline was empirically administered after completion of the first set of thallium-201 images. It is concluded from this study that thallium-201 myocardial imaging after coronary vasodilation with a 400 mg oral dose of dipyridamole is a safe, widely available and reliable alternative for the evaluation of coronary artery disease in patients unable to achieve an adequate exercise level on stress testing.
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