Functional complex networks have meant a pivotal change in the way we understand complex systems, being the most outstanding one the human brain. These networks have classically been reconstructed using a frequentist approach that, while simple, completely disregards the uncertainty that derives from data finiteness. We provide here an alternative solution based on Bayesian inference, with link weights treated as random variables described by probability distributions, from which ensembles of networks are sampled. By using both statistical and topological considerations, we prove that the role played by links’ uncertainty is equivalent to the introduction of a random rewiring, whose omission leads to a consistent overestimation of topological structures. We further show that this bias is enhanced in short time series, suggesting the existence of a theoretical time resolution limit for obtaining reliable structures. We also propose a simple sampling process for correcting topological values obtained in frequentist networks. We finally validate these concepts through synthetic and real network examples, the latter representing the brain electrical activity of a group of people during a cognitive task.

HighlightsAn effective DSS integrating several models and methods has been developed.The E-water tool enable the identification of site-specific agronomic practices for nutrients and water management.Identified optimal solutions take into account food demand thus coping with food security issue.The main features of the DSS are tested by applying it to various scenarios in the Mékrou river basin.

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