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Phytoplankton compete for nutrients and light in a vertically heterogeneous environment determined by turbulent mixing. We analyzed a model of competition between two phytoplankton species in a stratified water column. We assume that the surface layer is uniformly mixed and that the deep layer is poorly mixed, as is commonly observed in lakes and oceans. We employed two analytical techniques, I(out) - (R)theory in the mixed surface layer and a game theoretical approach in the deep layer. Under our assumptions, at equilibrium, each species is either absent or resides in the benthic layer, the deep layer, or the surface layer. Assuming a trade-off between nutrient- and light-competitive abilities, we obtained five spatial configurations of coexistence and the corresponding parameter regions where they occur. Good light competitors show two distinct ecological niches: in mesotrophic conditions, they live as understory species below a layer of good nutrient competitors; in eutrophic conditions, they live as competitive dominants in the surface layer. Multiple regions of alternative stable states are possible in parameter space. This work extends previous phytoplankton competition theory to stratified water columns, as commonly found in lakes and oceans.

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1 Assessing the effectiveness of conservation actions to halt population declines is challenging when confounded by other factors. We assessed whether culling of red fox, a predator currently increasing in number in the sub-Arctic, contributed to recent recovery of the critically endangered Fennoscandian population of Lesser White-fronted Goose Anser erythropus, while controlling for potentially confounding food web dynamics.2 Using 19 years of data, 10 before and 9 after the implementation of annual red fox culling, we estimated the effect of this action on annual performance of the goose population. We corrected for the potentially confounding effects of cyclic rodent dynamics and semi-domestic reindeer carrion abundance, both of which are expected to trigger predator functional and numerical responses, as well as for annual variation in spring phenology.3 Goose reproductive success fluctuated in synchrony with the rodent cycle and was negatively related to abundant carrion. When accounting for these aspects of food web dynamics, there was no evidence for an effect of red fox culling on reproductive success. There was, however, a tendency for fox culling to increase adult survival.4 Our analysis suggests that goose performance in their breeding area is influenced by fluctuating offspring predation, mediated by mainly natural (rodents) and partly anthropogenic (semi-domestic reindeer) dynamic components of the food web. 5 Synthesis and applications. The effect of a decade-long red fox culling on goose reproductive success and survival is currently uncertain, despite predation driving reproductive success through changes in rodent and reindeer carrion abundance. New management actions may consist of regulation of reindeer herd sizes and/or removal of carcasses to reduce the subsidizing effect of reindeer carrion on mesopredators. Getting robust evidence regarding the impact of red fox culling on population recovery depends on continuing research to disentangle food web dynamics and efficiency of management actions. Additional supporting information may be found online in the Supporting Information section at the end of the article. How to cite this article: Marolla F, Aarvak T, Øien IJ, et al. Assessing the effect of predator control on an endangered goose population subjected to predator-mediated food web dynamics.

According to recent reviews, the question of how trophic interactions may affect evolutionary responses to climate change remains unanswered. In this modelling study, we explore the evolutionary dynamics of thermal and plant -herbivore interaction traits in a warming environment. We find the herbivore usually reduces adaptation speed and persistence time of the plant by reducing biomass. However, if the plant interaction trait and thermal trait are correlated, herbivores can create different coevolutionary attractors. One attractor has a warmer plant thermal optimum, and the other a colder one compared with the environment. A warmer plant thermal strategy is given a head start under warming, the only case where herbivores can increase plant persistence under warming. Persistence time of the plant under warming is maximal at small or large thermal niche width. This study shows that considering trophic interactions is necessary and feasible for understanding how ecosystems respond to climate change.