BackgroundBecause of the vulnerability and frailty of elderly adults, clinical drug development has traditionally been biased towards young and middle-aged adults. Recent efforts have begun to incorporate data from paediatric investigations. Nevertheless, the elderly often remain underrepresented in clinical trials, even though persons aged 65 years and older receive the majority of drug prescriptions. Consequently, a knowledge gap exists with regard to pharmacokinetic (PK) and pharmacodynamic (PD) responses in elderly subjects, leaving the safety and efficacy of medicines for this population unclear.ObjectivesThe goal of this study was to extend a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model for adults to encompass the full course of healthy aging through to the age of 100 years, to support dose selection and improve pharmacotherapy for the elderly age group.MethodsFor parameterization of the PBPK model for healthy aging individuals, the literature was scanned for anthropometric and physiological data, which were consolidated and incorporated into the PBPK software PK-Sim®. Age-related changes that occur from 65 to 100 years of age were the main focus of this work. For a sound and continuous description of an aging human, data on anatomical and physiological changes ranging from early adulthood to old age were included. The capability of the PBPK approach to predict distribution and elimination of drugs was verified using the test compounds morphine and furosemide, administered intravenously. Both are cleared by a single elimination pathway. PK parameters for the two compounds in younger adults and elderly individuals were obtained from the literature. Matching virtual populations—with regard to age, sex, anthropometric measures and dosage—were generated. Profiles of plasma drug concentrations over time, volume of distribution at steady state (V ss) values and elimination half-life (t ½) values from the literature were compared with those predicted by PBPK simulations for both younger adults and the elderly.ResultsFor most organs, the age-dependent information gathered in the extensive literature analysis was dense. In contrast, with respect to blood flow, the literature study produced only sparse data for several tissues, and in these cases, linear regression was required to capture the entire elderly age range. On the basis of age-informed physiology, the predicted PK profiles described age-associated trends well. The root mean squared prediction error for the prediction of plasma concentrations of furosemide and morphine in the elderly were improved by 32 and 49 %, respectively, by use of age-informed physiology. The majority of the individual V ss and t ½ values for the two model compounds, furosemide and morphine, were well predicted in the elderly population, except for long furosemide half-lifes.ConclusionThe results of this study support the feasibility of using a knowledge-driven PBPK aging model that includes the elderly to predict PK alterations throughout the entire course of aging, and thus to...
Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models are increasingly used to support pediatric dose selection for small molecule drugs. In contrast, only a few pediatric PBPK models for therapeutic antibodies have been published recently, and the knowledge on the maturation of the processes relevant for antibody pharmacokinetics (PK) is limited compared to small molecules. The aim of this study was, thus, to evaluate predictions from antibody PBPK models for children which were scaled from PBPK models for adults in order to identify respective knowledge gaps. For this, we used the generic PBPK model implemented in PK-Sim without further modifications. Focusing on general clearance and distribution mechanisms, we selected palivizumab and bevacizumab as examples for this evaluation since they show simple, linear PK which is not governed by drug-specific target mediated disposition at usual therapeutic dosages, and their PK has been studied in pediatric populations after intravenous application. The evaluation showed that the PK of palivizumab was overall reasonably well predicted, while the clearance for bevacizumab seems to be underestimated. Without implementing additional ontogeny for antibody PKspecific processes into the PBPK model, bodyweight normalized clearance increases only moderately in young children compared to adults. If growth during aging at the time of the simulation was considered, the apparent clearance is approximately 20% higher compared to simulations for which growth was not considered for newborns due to the long half-life of antibodies. To fully understand the differences and similarities in the PK of antibodies between adults and children, further research is needed. By integrating available information and data, PBPK modeling can contribute to reveal the relevance of involved processes as well as to generate and test hypothesis.
BackgroundPhysiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling has received growing interest as a useful tool for the assessment of drug pharmacokinetics by continuous knowledge integration.ObjectiveThe objective of this study was to build a ciprofloxacin PBPK model for intravenous and oral dosing based on a comprehensive literature review, and evaluate the predictive performance towards pediatric and geriatric patients.MethodsThe aim of this report was to establish confidence in simulations of the ciprofloxacin PBPK model along the development process to facilitate reliable predictions outside of the tested adult age range towards the extremes of ages. Therefore, mean data of 69 published clinical trials were identified and integrated into the model building, simulation and verification process. The predictive performance on both ends of the age scale was assessed using individual data of 258 subjects observed in own clinical trials.ResultsCiprofloxacin model verification demonstrated no concentration-related bias and accurate simulations for the adult age range, with only 4.8% of the mean observed data points for intravenous administration and 12.1% for oral administration being outside the simulated twofold range. Predictions towards the extremes of ages for the area under the plasma concentration–time curve (AUC) and the maximum plasma concentration (Cmax) over the entire span of life revealed a reliable estimation, with only two pediatric AUC observations outside the 90% prediction interval.ConclusionOverall, this ciprofloxacin PBPK modeling approach demonstrated the predictive power of a thoroughly informed middle-out approach towards age groups of interest to potentially support the decision-making process.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (10.1007/s40262-018-0661-6) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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