Land management and land-cover change have impacts of similar magnitude on surface temperature" (2014). Papers in Natural Resources. 554.

Afforestation and forest management are considered to be key instruments in mitigating climate change. Here we show that since 1750, in spite of considerable afforestation, wood extraction has led to Europe's forests accumulating a carbon debt of 3.1 petagrams of carbon. We found that afforestation is responsible for an increase of 0.12 watts per square meter in the radiative imbalance at the top of the atmosphere, whereas an increase of 0.12 kelvin in summertime atmospheric boundary layer temperature was mainly caused by species conversion. Thus, two and a half centuries of forest management in Europe have not cooled the climate. The political imperative to mitigate climate change through afforestation and forest management therefore risks failure, unless it is recognized that not all forestry contributes to climate change mitigation.

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More than half the world's rainforest has been lost to agriculture since the Industrial Revolution. Among the most widespread tropical crops is oil palm (Elaeis guineensis): global production now exceeds 35 million tonnes per year. In Malaysia, for example, 13% of land area is now oil palm plantation, compared with 1% in 1974. There are enormous pressures to increase palm oil production for food, domestic products, and, especially, biofuels. Greater use of palm oil for biofuel production is predicated on the assumption that palm oil is an ''environmentally friendly'' fuel feedstock. Here we show, using measurements and models, that oil palm plantations in Malaysia directly emit more oxides of nitrogen and volatile organic compounds than rainforest. These compounds lead to the production of ground-level ozone (O 3), an air pollutant that damages human health, plants, and materials, reduces crop productivity, and has effects on the Earth's climate. Our measurements show that, at present, O 3 concentrations do not differ significantly over rainforest and adjacent oil palm plantation landscapes. However, our model calculations predict that if concentrations of oxides of nitrogen in Borneo are allowed to reach those currently seen over rural North America and Europe, ground-level O 3 concentrations will reach 100 parts per billion (10 9 ) volume (ppbv) and exceed levels known to be harmful to human health. Our study provides an early warning of the urgent need to develop policies that manage nitrogen emissions if the detrimental effects of palm oil production on air quality and climate are to be avoided. air quality ͉ land use change ͉ sustainable development ͉ biofuel G round-level ozone (O 3 ) is a priority air pollutant that damages human health, plants, and materials, reduces crop productivity, and has direct and indirect effects on the Earth's climate system (1). It is formed in the atmosphere by reactions involving oxides of nitrogen (NO x ) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in the presence of sunlight. The terrestrial biosphere is a major source of both these families of trace gases; in fact, the great majority of reactive VOCs globally are of biogenic origin (2). Here we show, using integrated and fully comprehensive measurements of biosphere-to-atmosphere trace gas fluxes and atmospheric composition, together with atmospheric chemistry modeling, that conversion of tropical rainforest to oil palm plantations results in much greater emissions of these reactive trace gases that lead to O 3 formation. Increased NO x emissions will cause severe ground-level O 3 pollution (Ͼ 100 ppbv), but this pollution could be prevented by strict control of emissions of reactive nitrogen species to the atmosphere. Our study shows the importance of quantifying the current and future effects of land use change on air quality when assessing the ''environmental friendliness'' of palm oil and other biofuel crops. Of course, air quality is only a single consideration; in assessing the consequences of biofuel production, effects o...

The Paris Agreement advances forest management as one of the pathways to halt climate warming through carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emission reduction 1 . The climate benefits from carbon sequestration from forest management may, however, be reinforced, counteracted, or even offset by concurrent management-induced changes in surface albedo, surface roughness, biogenic volatile organic compound emissions, transpiration, and sensible heat flux 2 – 4 . Forest management could, thus, offset CO 2 emissions without halting global temperature rise. It remains, therefore, to be confirmed that sustainable forest management portfolios for the end of the 21 st -century for Europe would comply with the Paris Agreement, i.e., reduce the growth rate of atmospheric CO 2 , reduce the radiative imbalance at the top of the atmosphere, and neither increase the near-surface air temperature nor decrease precipitation. Here we show that a spatially-optimized portfolio that maximises the carbon sink through carbon sequestration, wood use and product and energy substitution, reduces the growth rate of atmospheric CO 2 but does not meet any of the other criteria. The portfolios that maximise the carbon sink or forest albedo pass only one, albeit different, criterion. Managing the European forests with the objective to reduce near-surface air temperature, on the other hand, will also reduce the atmospheric CO 2 growth rate, thus meeting two out of four criteria. Our results demonstrate that if present-day forest cover is sustained, the additional climate benefits through forest management would be modest and local rather than global. Based on these findings we argue that if adaptation would require large-scale changes in species composition and silvicultural systems over Europe 5 , 6 , these changes could be implemented with little unintended climate effects.

Abstract. Since 70 % of global forests are managed and forests impact the global carbon cycle and the energy exchange with the overlying atmosphere, forest management has the potential to mitigate climate change. Yet, none of the land-surface models used in Earth system models, and therefore none of today's predictions of future climate, accounts for the interactions between climate and forest management. We addressed this gap in modelling capability by developing and parametrising a version of the ORCHIDEE land-surface model to simulate the biogeochemical and biophysical effects of forest management. The most significant changes between the new branch called ORCHIDEE-CAN (SVN r2290) and the trunk version of ORCHIDEE (SVN r2243) are the allometric-based allocation of carbon to leaf, root, wood, fruit and reserve pools; the transmittance, absorbance and reflectance of radiation within the canopy; and the vertical discretisation of the energy budget calculations. In addition, conceptual changes were introduced towards a better process representation for the interaction of radiation with snow, the hydraulic architecture of plants, the representation of forest management and a numerical solution for the photosynthesis formalism of Farquhar, von Caemmerer and Berry. For consistency reasons, these changes were extensively linked throughout the code. Parametrisation was revisited after introducing 12 new parameter sets that represent specific tree species or genera rather than a group of often distantly related or even unrelated species, as is the case in widely used plant functional types. Performance of the new model was compared against the trunk and validated against independent spatially explicit data for basal area, tree height, canopy structure, gross primary production (GPP), albedo and evapotranspiration over Europe. For all tested variables, Published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union. K. Naudts et al.: A vertically discretised canopy description for ORCHIDEEORCHIDEE-CAN outperformed the trunk regarding its ability to reproduce large-scale spatial patterns as well as their inter-annual variability over Europe. Depending on the data stream, ORCHIDEE-CAN had a 67 to 92 % chance to reproduce the spatial and temporal variability of the validation data.

Abstract. Because of the slow accumulation and long residence time of carbon in biomass and soils, the present state and future dynamics of temperate forests are influenced by management that took place centuries to millennia ago. Humans have exploited the forests of Europe for fuel, construction materials and fodder for the entire Holocene. In recent centuries, economic and demographic trends led to increases in both forest area and management intensity across much of Europe. In order to quantify the effects of these changes in forests and to provide a baseline for studies on future land-cover-climate interactions and biogeochemical cycling, we created a temporally and spatially resolved reconstruction of European forest management from 1600 to 2010. For the period 1600-1828, we took a supply-demand approach, in which supply was estimated on the basis of historical annual wood increment and land cover reconstructions. We made demand estimates by multiplying population with consumption factors for construction materials, household fuelwood, industrial food processing and brewing, metallurgy, and salt production. For the period 1829-2010, we used a supply-driven backcasting method based on national and regional statistics of forest age structure from the second half of the 20th century. Our reconstruction reproduces the most important changes in forest management between 1600 and 2010: (1) an increase of 593 000 km 2 in conifers at the expense of deciduous forest (decreasing by 538 000 km 2 ); (2) a 612 000 km 2 decrease in unmanaged forest; (3) a 152 000 km 2 decrease in coppice management; (4) a 818 000 km 2 increase in high-stand management; and (5) the rise and fall of litter raking, which at its peak in 1853 resulted in the removal of 50 Tg dry litter per year.

This paper reports measurements of land-atmosphere fluxes of sensible and latent heat, momentum, CO 2 , volatile organic compounds (VOCs), NO, NO 2 , N 2 O and O 3 over a 30 m high rainforest canopy and a 12 m high oil palm plantation in the same region of Sabah in Borneo between April and July 2008. The daytime maximum CO 2 flux to the two canopies differs by approximately a factor of 2, 1200 mg C m 22 h 21 for the oil palm and 700 mg C m 22 h 21 for the rainforest, with the oil palm plantation showing a substantially greater quantum efficiency. Total VOC emissions are also larger over the oil palm than over the rainforest by a factor of 3. Emissions of isoprene from the oil palm canopy represented 80 per cent of the VOC emissions and exceeded those over the rainforest in similar light and temperature conditions by on average a factor of 5. Substantial emissions of estragole (1-allyl-4-methoxybenzene) from the oil palm plantation were detected and no trace of this VOC was detected in or above the rainforest. Deposition velocities for O 3 to the rainforest were a factor of 2 larger than over oil palm. Emissions of nitrous oxide were larger from the soils of the oil palm plantation than from the soils of the rainforest by approximately 25 per cent. It is clear from the measurements that the large change in the species composition generated by replacing rainforest with oil palm leads to profound changes in the net exchange of most of the trace gases measured, and thus on the chemical composition of the boundary layer over these surfaces.