In a longitudinal, multicenter study of 4,954 men at risk for human immunodeficiency virus infection and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome, data from the first 9.5 years of follow-up (April 1984 through September 1993) were used to determine differences between those who remained in the study and those who dropped out. Demographic variables (age, race, education, employment, and study center), health status (human immunodeficiency virus type 1 serostatus and depression), and behavioral characteristics (alcohol drinking, drug use, and anal-receptive intercourse) were analyzed. Strategies for promoting retention included having frequent contact with participants, generating trust, keeping participants well-informed, utilizing multiple resources for follow-up, and providing flexible methods of participation. After 9.5 years of follow-up, vital status was known for 4,385 (88.5%) of the participants. Results from multiple logistic regression showed that race, age, education, and smoking were each significantly associated with nonparticipation (p < 0.001). A high level of retention was maintained in this well-educated and highly motivated cohort of homosexual/bisexual men. Extensive follow-up methods may improve case-finding. Nonwhite race, younger age, less education, and smoking were important predictors of dropping out. These findings identify specific groups for targeting follow-up efforts to reduce potential bias due to dropout.

Infection with the human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1), as demonstrated by viral cultures, has been described in some patients before antibodies to HIV-1 can be detected, but the duration and frequency of such latent infections are uncertain. We selected prospectively a cohort of 133 seronegative homosexual men who continued to be involved in high-risk sexual activity, and we cultured 225 samples of their peripheral-blood lymphocytes, using mitogen stimulation to activate the integrated HIV-1 genome. HIV-1 was isolated in blood samples from 31 of the 133 men (23 percent), 27 of whom have remained seronegative for up to 36 months after the positive culture. The other four men seroconverted 11 to 17 months after the isolation of HIV-1. In three of them, we studied cryopreserved lymphocytes obtained earlier, using the polymerase chain reaction to amplify small amounts of viral DNA, and we demonstrated that HIV-1 provirus had been present 23, 35, and 35 months before seroconversion. We conclude that HIV-1 infection in homosexual men at high risk may occur at least 35 months before antibodies to HIV-1 can be detected. A prolonged period of latency in such infections may be more common than previously recognized; the degree of infectiousness during such periods is unknown.

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Used psychosocial variables derived from the health belief model (Rosenstock, 1974), Bandura's (1986) self-efficacy framework, and protection motivation theory (Rogers, 1984) to predict self-reported AIDS risk-reduction behaviors in a sample of 389 homosexual men who participated in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study in Los Angeles and who knew their HIV antibody status. Hierarchical multiple regression analyses showed that self-efficacy, perceived risk, response efficacy, and prior sexual behavior accounted for approximately 70% of the variance in the total number of sexual partners and the number of anonymous partners over a 6-month interval, controlling for demographic variables, HIV antibody status, and presence of a primary partner. A logistic regression analysis showed that barriers to change predicted increased unprotected anal receptive intercourse over a 6-month interval, controlling for prior behavior. The relation of health beliefs to risk-reduction behavior was substantially different for HIV-seropositive men without primary partners than for other groups of gay men. Implications for interventions are discussed.