The plasma cell labeling index (PCLI) and serum beta 2-microglobulin (beta 2M) are independent prognostic factors in multiple myeloma (MM). Recently, levels of thymidine kinase (TK) and C-reactive protein (CRP) have been shown to have prognostic value. We studied 107 patients with newly diagnosed myeloma to determine whether TK and CRP values added prognostic information not already available using the PCLI and beta 2M. Univariate survival analysis showed prognostic significance for the PCLI, TK, beta 2M, age, serum albumin, and CRP. Multivariate analysis showed that only PCLI and beta 2M have independent prognostic significance. The survival curves were better separated using the PCLI and beta 2M than with other combinations of variables. Among nine patients under age 65 with low PCLI and low beta 2M, eight were alive almost 6 years after starting chemotherapy. These good-risk patients could not be identified by standard clinical features. Although creatinine and calcium were normal, other features such as bone lesions, osteoporosis, fracture, and anemia were present and stage distribution was similar to other patients in the study. In conclusion, PCLI and beta 2M measured at diagnosis are independent prognostic factors. They must be considered when interpreting the results of clinical trials and should be helpful in counseling patients and in designing new trials. When the PCLI and beta 2M values are known, the TK and CRP values do not add useful additional prognostic information.
The plasma cell labeling index (PCLI) and serum beta 2-microglobulin (beta 2M) are independent prognostic factors in multiple myeloma (MM). Recently, levels of thymidine kinase (TK) and C-reactive protein (CRP) have been shown to have prognostic value. We studied 107 patients with newly diagnosed myeloma to determine whether TK and CRP values added prognostic information not already available using the PCLI and beta 2M. Univariate survival analysis showed prognostic significance for the PCLI, TK, beta 2M, age, serum albumin, and CRP. Multivariate analysis showed that only PCLI and beta 2M have independent prognostic significance. The survival curves were better separated using the PCLI and beta 2M than with other combinations of variables. Among nine patients under age 65 with low PCLI and low beta 2M, eight were alive almost 6 years after starting chemotherapy. These good-risk patients could not be identified by standard clinical features. Although creatinine and calcium were normal, other features such as bone lesions, osteoporosis, fracture, and anemia were present and stage distribution was similar to other patients in the study. In conclusion, PCLI and beta 2M measured at diagnosis are independent prognostic factors. They must be considered when interpreting the results of clinical trials and should be helpful in counseling patients and in designing new trials. When the PCLI and beta 2M values are known, the TK and CRP values do not add useful additional prognostic information.
The purpose of this study was to quantitate the number and labeling index of monoclonal plasma cells in the blood of patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (MM) to learn if these values were independent prognostic factors for survival. Patients were candidates for this study if they had untreated myeloma requiring therapy, were evaluated at our institution between 1984 and 1993, and had a sample of blood analyzed with a sensitive immunofluorescence technique for monoclonal plasma cells and the blood B-cell labelling index (BLI). The % blood monoclonal plasma cells (%BPC) and the BLI were analyzed along with stage, marrow plasma cell LI, % marrow plasma cells, calcium, creatinine, albumin, beta-2-microglobulin, and C-reactive protein as univariate and multivariate factors for survival. Eighty percent of the 254 patients accrued to this study had monoclonal BPC detected. The median % BPC was 6% and 57% (144 of 254) of patients had a high number (> or = 4%). Patients with > or = 4% BPC had a median survival of 2.4 years vs 4.4 years for those with < 4% BPC (P < .001). The BLI was also prognostic (P = .008). In a multivariate analysis, the % BPC, age, albumin, stage, marrow plasma cell LI, and the BLI were independent factors for survival. The %BPC and the marrow plasma cell LI best separated the group into low, intermediate, and high risk myeloma with median survivals of 52, 35, and 26 months, respectively. Patients with high %BPC were less likely to have lytic bone disease from their MM (P = .002). The %BPC and the BLI are independent prognostic factors for survival and are useful in identifying patients as low, intermediate, and high risk. Clonal cells in the blood should be quantified in future clinical trials for myeloma.
We investigated whether differences in IL-6 and IL-1 expression could be detected in monoclonal plasma cells from patients with MGUS or MM. Expression of IL-6 and IL-1 in bone marrow cells was determined using cell sorting to enrich for plasma cells followed by reverse transcriptase/polymerase chain reaction (RT/PCR). Nineteen patients (six MGUS, two primary amyloid (AL), 11 MM) were studied. IL-6 mRNA expression was detectable in the sorted CD38 ؉ /CD45 ؊ plasma cell populations from 0/6 MGUS, 0/2 AL and 5/11 MM patients. All five MM patients with autocrine IL-6 expression demonstrated an elevated plasma cell labeling index. IL-1 mRNA was detectable in the sorted CD38 ؉ /CD45 ؊ plasma cell populations from 1/6 MGUS, 0/2 AL and 10/11 MM patients. In situ hybridization (ISH) confirmed that the IL-1 producing cells were plasma cells. In conclusion, autocrine production of IL-6 parallels a high labeling index and aberrant expression of IL-1 correlates with the diagnosis of MM. Follow-up of IL-1-positive MGUS patients will determine whether aberrant expression of IL-1 will predict those MGUS patients that will eventually progress to MM.
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