SUMMARY Forty nine infants of HIV seropositive women were followed up for a median of 24 months, together with 24 controls. The infection status of 11 index children under 18 months of age was indeterminate; 34 were presumed uninfected while four showed clinical and laboratory evidence of HIV disease. Based on current definitions of HIV infection and excluding children under 18 months old as well as those who had not been studied from birth, two out of 28 children were infected. The estimated rate of maternofetal transmission was therefore 7-1%. In children with proved infection, sequential laboratory data showed that hypergammaglobulinaemia was noted as early as 6 months and often predated clinical signs. This observation, in the presence of non-specific clinical findings, was helpful in alerting the paediatrician to a diagnosis of HIV infection.

SUMMARYThis study compares the predictive power of a single measurement of CD8 1 CD38 1 , CD81CD45RO 1 or CD8 1 CD38 1 CD45RO 1 subpopulations in predicting progression to AIDS in a cohort of HIV 1 longterm surviving injecting drug users. The results showed that both the total CD8 1 percentage, and the CD8 1 CD38 1 and CD8 1 CD38 1 CD45RO 1 subpopulations of cells all individually predicted progression to AIDS. In combination with CD4, only the CD8 1 CD38 1 subpopulation enhanced the predictive power of the CD4 percentage alone. The CD8 1 percentage correlated negatively with the CD4 percentage and the CD8 1 CD45RO 1 subpopulation did not predict disease progression. The proportion of CD8 1 CD38 1 cells identified which patients with a moderate CD4 level were more likely to progress to AIDS, and conversely, which patients with a low CD4 count were likely to remain clinically stable. The results were consistent irrespective of whether time was measured from the date of seroconversion, or from the date of the test. This study is the first to measure these markers in HIV-infected injecting drug users, and in long-term survivors. The results demonstrate the considerable added value of the CD8 1 CD38 1 cell percentage over the CD4 count alone, in predicting HIV clinical progression.

Objective: As at December 1998, 87% of the estimated 33 million people living with HIV throughout the world resided in Africa and South East Asia. 1 In Scotland (and the United Kingdom), a major public health concern has been that non-B subtypes of HIV which predominate in the regions above might enter the country and spread heterosexually among the indigenous population. The authors conducted an investigation to determine if, and to what extent, such transmission had occurred. Methods: Stored blood samples from people who were diagnosed as HIV positive in central Scotland during 1995-7 and who were reported to have acquired their infection heterosexually, were identified. Sequence data were sought from each sample and, where obtained, viral subtype was assigned. For each case, viral subtype was linked to corresponding epidemiological details on heterosexual risk. Results: Viral sequence was obtained from specimens for 53 of 59 cases. For 43 of the 53 cases, information on region of sexual contact was known. All 19 cases who had a sexual risk in Africa or Asia had a non-B subtype (A, C, or E) while 20 of 24 cases who did not report sexual contact in these regions had a B subtype (p <0.0001). Of the remaining 10 cases, nine had a subtype B and one a subtype C virus. Conclusion: There is no evidence that non-B viral strains from developing countries have yet disseminated appreciably among indigenous heterosexual men and women within Scotland. Continuing to collect both demographic and molecular data from indigenous heterosexuals who are newly diagnosed with HIV would improve the chances of detecting rapidly any appreciable dissemination of non-B subtypes among this population if it were to occur. Such information would be helpful in informing HIV prevention strategies. (Sex Transm Inf 1999;75:392-395)

In this study design, each woman served as her own control and all factors remained constant except the pregnancy state. Early pregnancy causes a reduction in total lymphocytes of about 6% expressed as a percentage of total white cell count, and in CD4+ cells by 3% as a percentage of lymphocytes, or 100/mm3. We believe this fall can be accepted as definitive.

Our aim was to investigate if the clinical benefits of combination antiretroviral therapy recently reported from clinical trials are reproduced in a population-based HIV surveillance scheme. This surveillance scheme is estimated to cover 90% of the HIV-positive population currently under immunological monitoring in Scotland. Our results showed a considerable reduction in new AIDS cases among this group from 107 in 1995 to 59 in 1996 and an estimated 58 in 1997 (allowing for reporting delay). There was a similar fall in deaths from 75 in 1995 to 59 in 1996 and an estimated 24 in 1997. These observations are temporally associated with increasing prescription of antiretroviral therapy in Scotland throughout 1996 and 1997. Examination of those individuals monitored in both 1996 and 1997 showed that from their first CD4 count in 1996 to their first count in 1997 there has been a median gain of 6 CD4 cells/mm3 (95%CI 0-12) compared with a median fall of 27 CD4 cells/mm3 (95%CI -35, -17) for those monitored in both 1995 and 1996. Highest median gains in CD4 cell counts from 1996 to 1997 were seen in those receiving triple or quadruple therapy (median gain 32CD4 cells/mm3). These results are further strengthened by the results of a separate longitudinal analysis showing a highly significant (P < 0.001) effect of treatment on CD4 cell loss with the highest mean CD4 gains being seen in those in triple or quadruple therapy. Our results indicate that the benefits of combination antiretroviral therapy previously seen in clinical trials are being reproduced at a population level. It remains to be seen if these benefits can be sustained in the long term.